Pharma Stakeholder Sentiment: Back to Square One?

Is it fair to push out the core purpose of an important process, or rather a mission, unfairly? Whether we like it or not, it happened that way, over a period of time.

Way back on December 01, 1950, George W. Merck (President and Chairman Merck & Co., Inc.1925-1957), epitomized the core purpose of the drug innovation process. This is something, which apparently was possible only for him to articulate exactly the way he did.

On that day, while addressing the students and the faculty at the Medical College of Virginia, Richmond, George Merck said: “We try to remember that medicine is for the patient. We try never to forget that medicine is for the people. It is not for the profits. The profits follow, and if we have remembered that, they have never failed to appear. The better we have remembered it, the larger they have been.”

To many of us, it may sound more as an altruistic statement, and not really coming from a businessman who wants to excel in the financial performance of the organization. Interestingly, that was not the case, either. Merck removed any possible ambiguity in his statement by stating categorically: “In doing this, it will be as a business­ man associated with that area of the chemical industry which serves chiefly the worlds of medicine and pharmacy.”

In this article, I shall deliberate on whether or not the core purpose of drug innovation, as articulated by George Merck in 1950 has been pushed out of the mind of the stakeholders for good.

Management Guru – Peter Drucker’s similar observation:

It is worthwhile to recapitulate at this stage that around the same time, the Management Guru – Peter Drucker also made a similar observation, which is relevant even today. He said: “Because the purpose of business is to create a customer, the business enterprise has two – and only two basic functions: marketing and innovation. Marketing and innovation produce results; all the rest are costs. Marketing is the distinguishing, unique function of the business.”

Interestingly, when the word ‘customer’ is replaced with ‘patients’, George W. Merck’s iconic statement fits so well even in the realm of business management, including drugs and pharmaceuticals.

Signs of the core purpose of new drug discovery getting pushed out:

The core purpose of new drug innovation in pharma business, as articulated by a top industry pioneer – ‘Medicine is for the patient and not for the profits’, was pushed out eventually, regardless of its reasons. Today’s core purpose of the same process has seemingly become just the opposite of that – ‘Medicine is only for the patient who can afford it – to maximize profit.’

This change in the core purpose was visible in a large number of instances. For example, when the then Bayer CEO Marijn Dekkers reportedly said: ‘Our cancer drug is for rich westerners, not poor Indians.’  However, his exact wordings were “we did not develop this product for the Indian market, let’s be honest. We developed this product for Western patients who can afford this product, quite honestly.” If so,the question that comes up: why then Bayer fought so hard and spent so much of money, efforts and time to keep selling this specific product in India – exclusively?

In any case, this statement from the highest echelon of one of the top global pharma players is a contentious one, especially against George Merck’s articulation, or even Peter Drucker’s for that matter, on the same. By the way, Dekkers made this commentat the Financial Times Global Pharmaceutical & Biotech Conference in December in December 2013.

A wind of change?

The hope for a wind of change flickered when in an interview, Andrew Witty,the erstwhile global CEO of GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), signaled a totally contrasting view of his company. Witty said: “GSK is committed to offering all its new drugs in India at affordable prices.”

Much prior to this, on March 14, 2013 he told a conference on healthcare in London that: “It’s not unrealistic to expect that new innovation ought to be priced at or below, in some cases, the prices that have pre-existed them.” He further expressed: “The pharmaceutical industry should be able to charge less for new drugs in future by passing on efficiencies in research and development to its customers.”

Witty era is also over now. He retired from GSK at the age of around 53 on March 31, 2017. Perhaps his refreshing patient-centric thoughts would also not find any takers within the industry. Nonetheless, in March 2018, the same issue resurfaced in an interesting article, followed by a few other related developments.

Call for socializing drug development?

The issue, which is not just limited to high prices for new patented drugs, is much broader. An interesting article titled, “Developing drugs wasn’t always about profit, and it shouldn’t be now”, was published in Quartz- a news website owned by Atlantic Media, brings to the fore the same key point, yet again. It makes some profound observations, such as socializing drug development. The word ‘socializing’ may not be quite acceptable to many, though. Nevertheless, it raises some critical issues worth pondering over, such as:

  • Faith in the power of money pervades our modern medical system. Pharmaceutical companies aren’t evil (usually). They just choose to make the most profitable drugs, not the drugs of greatest value to society.
  • For example, despite antimicrobial resistance being a global threat, pharma companies have largely abandoned new antibiotic development on the eminently sensible principle that they are money-losers. Promising narrow-spectrum antibiotics – agents that precisely target pathogens and spare “good” bacteria - languish in development limbo because there is no hope that they might churn as much profit as several other drugs.

It’s high time, I reckon, to adequately address the dire need for a reliable supply of the medicines that make a vibrant modern society possible. All stakeholders, including the pharma industry, globally, would require putting their heads together in charting out a clear and time bound pathway for its effective resolution, soon. Otherwise, sheer gravity and the complexity of the situation may prompt the policy makers to move towards ‘socializing drug development,’ much to the dismay of many of us.

Hospitals creating nonprofit generic drug company:

On January 18, 2018, The New York Times (NYT), published an article titled “Fed Up With Drug Companies, Hospitals Decide to Start Their Own,” highlighted a novel initiative to address the prevailing situation, in their own way, without depending on others.

It reported, for many years, several hospital administrations have been expressing frustration when essential drugs like heart medicines have become scarce, or when prices have skyrocketed because investors manipulated the market. Now, about 300 of the country’s largest hospital systems are taking an aggressive step to combat the problem. They plan to go into the drug business themselves, in a move that appears to be the first on this scale.

‘The idea is to directly challenge the host of industry players who have capitalized on certain markets, buying up monopolies of old, off-patent drugs and then sharply raising prices, stoking public outrage’, the article elaborates.

‘Price of medications has soared, so have pharma profits’:

‘Big Pharma is jacking up prices for one reason – because it can,’ says a CNN Article, published on April 04, 2018. The article further emphasizes: “As the price of medications has soared, so have pharmaceutical company profits. Total sales revenue for top brand-name drugs jumped by almost $8.5 billion over the last five years. The Government Accountability Office (GAO) reported that 67% of drug manufacturers boosted their annual profit margins between 2006 and 2015 – with profit margins up to 20% for some companies in certain years.”

It further writes, “Not only have pharmaceutical companies reaped outsized profits from these price hikes, so have their CEOs. According to a USA Today analysis, the median compensation package for biotech and pharmaceutical CEOs in the Standard & Poor’s 500 was 71% higher than the median compensation for S&P 500 executives in all industries in 2015.”

Conclusion:

This is happening the world over. But its degree varies. In those countries where there are drug price regulators, only a small percentage of the total pharma market by value comes under price regulation, the rest of the products enjoy virtually free pricing freedom.

Would this ground situation change on its own any time soon? There is no specific answer to this question, yet. Moreover, there doesn’t seem to be none around in the pharma industry today with the stature and articulated vision like George Merck. He started from the very basic. Drawing the ‘square one’, he clearly defined the core purpose of discovery, manufacturing and marketing of medicines. Today’s pharma industry, by and large, seems to be charting in other newly drawn squares. Maximizing profit is now considered a key objective of achieving the core purpose – and not an outcome of achieving the core purpose of pharma business.

However, there are some very early signs of several stakeholders’ sentiment changing in this regard. Are they moving back to the basic – square one?

From the chronicles of the past several years on this issue, pharma industry does not seem to be on the same page with those stakeholders, just yet. If they do, a humongous health worry of a vast majority of the global population could be effectively addressed, as many believe.

The reverberations of this sentiment, though rather faint, can be felt in many countries, including the United States, and not just in the developing world, such as India.

By: Tapan J. Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

NHPS: “One Nation, One Scheme is Enticing”, But Will It Work?

Yet another slogan: “One nation – One Universal Health Coverage (UHC)” would indeed be enticing for many, including India.

Nevertheless, that’s just a hope. Let’s now try to get a message out of what has been recently happening around this area through some reality checks.   The reality is, during post union budget (2018-19) television discussions on the ‘National Health Protection Scheme NHPS’, various experts very enthusiastically created a general impression that the scheme is a game changer for India. Many of us also felt that India is moving fast towards a viable UHC in the country!

As a consequence of which, it was widely expected that State Governments, too, will make necessary provision in their respective health budgets towards this ambitious insurance-based healthcare project. This specific step is absolutely essential, as the State Governments are supposed to contribute 40 percent towards NHPS.

Is it happening that way?

Intriguingly, on March 9, 2018, when Maharashtra State budget was announced, one witnessed a different reality altogether on the ground. In its 2018-19 budget, the Maharashtra Government, reportedly, ‘slashed its budget allocation for the health insurance scheme for the poor by over 50 percent.’

The Finance Minister of Maharashtra announced an allocation of ₹576 crore for the ‘Mahatma Jyotiba Phule Jan Aarogya Abhiyan’ in 2018-19 as against the last year’s budget outlay of ₹1,316 crore for the same area.

Keeping this latest development just as an example, in this article I shall explore some of the recent developments on the much talked about NHPS. Before doing that, let me give a perspective on the NHPS.

NHPS: not a new promise:

Rekindling the perennial hope on UHC in India, ‘National Health Protection Scheme NHPS’ was first announced by the incumbent Government in its 2016 budget, but the scheme didn’t take off. In its first avatar NHPS offered ₹100,000 insurance cover, with a top-up of ₹30,000 for senior citizens.

“It couldn’t get implemented, but that scheme is now subsumed by this current scheme,” reportedly, justified Manoj Jhalani, Additional Secretary in the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, who has been given additional charge and designated as Mission Director of Ayushman Bharat, currently.

There isn’t any doubt that NHPS has been recast in the Union Budget Proposal of 2018-19, with a slight modification in naming it to ‘Ayushman Bharat—the National Health Protection Scheme (AB-NHPS)’. The modified scheme is also termed by many as “Modicare”, probably following ‘Obamacare’ in the United States. The Union Finance Minister of India in his Budget speech also termed this scheme as ‘the world’s largest government funded healthcare program.’

A recast of insurance-based public health coverage:

As a part of ‘Ayushman Bharat Program’, the scheme will now provide health insurance cover of up to ₹500,000 to 100 million poor and vulnerable families. Its benefits are now expected to reach 500 million individuals – 40 percent of India’s population, raising health insurance cover by up to 17 times from the existing Rashtriya Swasthya Bima Yojana (RSBY) that pegs the health coverage at ₹30,000 per year.

Just to give a flavor of the past, the National Family Health Survey-4 (2015-16) indicates that in India only 28.7 percent families have, at least, one person covered by a health insurance policy.

In the health insurance coverage based NHPS, the center and states will split financing the scheme in a 60:40 ratio. However, it is still not clear how would they do it. Neither is it known how the NHPS will fit in with the existing RSBY or various already existing state level schemes.

Apprehension expressed by some States:

Several other Indian States, such as Kerala, Tamil Nadu, Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Karnataka, West Bengal and Rajasthan already have a similar health protection scheme in place. Probably because of this reason some of these states, such as West Bengal and Karnataka, reportedly, have raised doubts about whether they will actually join the scheme.

On the other hand, health officials from  Telangana, Tamil Nadu and Kerala intend to seek clarifications from the Centre on various aspects of the plans. As I mentioned before, this is mostly because all States will require to contribute 40 percent of total expenses towards funding the ‘Ayushman Bharat—the National Health Protection Scheme (AB-NHPS).’

A fresh evaluation: Experts don’t rate public health insurance schemes high:

Interestingly, some fresh apprehensions on the effectiveness of insurance-based health coverage continues to come up. One such is as follows:

“The current approach of National Health Mission – whereby states must pre-commit to expenditure allocations across 2,000 budget lines with no real flexibility to subsequently move expenditures between different line items – will render NHPS ineffective.”

This apprehension has been raised by none other than Dr. Arvind Panagariya, currently Professor of Economics at Columbia University and the Vice Chairman of the Government of India’s think-tank NITI Aayog, between January 2015 and August 2017. This article, titled “It’s all in the design: Ayushman Bharat can be transformational if the governance of public healthcare is altered”, was published in the Times of India on March 07, 2018.

Dr. Panagariya further observed: “For the poorest of the poor to seek private hospital care speaks volumes for their lack of confidence in the public healthcare system. Studies by experts do not give high marks to existing insurance schemes either.”

Some key observations:

In his above recent article, Dr. Arvind Panagariya made some key observations that include some of the following:

  • A 2017 study of the Rashtriya Swasthya Bima Yojana (RSBY), published in the journal Social Science and Medicine, concludes, “Overall, the results [of our study] suggest that RSBY has been ineffective in reducing the burden of out-of-pocket spending on poor households.”
  • In 2014-15, private hospitals treated 58 percent of in-patient cases in rural areas. Even among the poorest 20 percent rural households, 42.5 percent of the patients went to private hospitals for in-patient treatment.
  • Resource shortage has resulted in less than adequate infrastructure and personnel in the public health facilities. Consequently, in 2014-15, a mere 28 percent of those needing outpatient care came to the public health facilities. A hefty 72 percent of patients went to private providers.
  • Considering that the private providers are predominantly unqualified individuals, often having no more than a high school education and no formal medical education, such disproportionate reliance on them is indicative of a serious failure at the public health facilities, especially in rural India.
  • Design and implementation challenges facing NHPS are even greater. Hospitals will have an inherent interest in pushing patients towards more expensive procedures or towards procedures not even required. Any lack of clarity in delineating the included and excluded procedures will become a source of abuse.
  • Superior outcomes would require a fundamental change in governance whereby performers are rewarded, and non-performers are punished. The story on secondary and tertiary care is not especially different.

In my view, these observations are worth taking note of, urgently, and more importantly, by learning from the past, avoiding similar mistakes getting repeated. Meaningful implementation of NHPS on the ground should be a top priority, especially when around 7 percent of the country’s population gets pushed below the poverty line, every year, due to high out of pocket health expenditure.

I also discussed the subject in this Blog on February 05, 2018. The article was titled “Union Budget 2018: The ‘WOW’ Moment for Indian Healthcare?

Conclusion:

Any meaningful initiative on public healthcare for all, will be wholeheartedly welcomed in India, just as many other announcements made earlier by various Governments over a period of time. AB-NHPS – although announced in the very last year of the incumbents Government’s first 5-year term, has attracted similar interest. No less enthusiasm was displayed by the stakeholders, when the NHPS was first announced in the 2016 Union Budget of India.

The good news is, in the midst of all this, on March 06, 2018, Prime Minister Narendra Modi has, reportedly, reviewed the preparedness for the launch of AB-NHPS.’ However, details of the same are not known to many, just yet.

That said, any type of insurance-based public health coverage, spanning across the length and the breadth of India, without access to well-equipped and well-staffed health facilities, currently poses a serious handicap for the nation. It may be a legacy factor, but nothing significant happened in the last four years, either. This is regardless of around 70 percent of the country’s population still live in rural India, with a sizeable majority denied of access to affordable health care, as up till now.

Let me come back to the basic question: ‘One Nation, One Scheme, though, is enticing, but will it work?’ I reckon, unlike, 2016, if NHPS is effectively implemented urgently, together with ‘Ayushman Bharat’ program in its entirety, as desired, things could possibly change for the better, in a medium to long term time frame.

However, it appears, a workable game plan of AB-NHPS is still unclear to many, including a large number of State Governments who are supposed to be the key implementers of NHPS. In this scenario, would AB-NHPS fetch any palpable near-term dividend to the target citizens, at least in 2018 or even in 2019?

By: Tapan J. Ray 

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

 

The R&D Factor: “One of the Great Myths of the Industry”

Yes, that is what the global CEO of one of the Pharmaceutical giants of the world commented in a very recent interview with Reuters. Adding further to this comment he said, “US $1 billion price tag for R&D was an average figure that includes money spent on drugs that ultimately fail… If you stop failing so often, you massively reduce the cost of drug development  … It’s entirely achievable.”

Therefore, he concluded his interview by saying that the pharmaceutical industry should be able to charge much less for new drugs by passing on efficiencies in R&D to the customers.

A vindication:

The above comment does not seem to be a one off remark. A recent study on R&D productivity of 12 top pharmaceutical companies of the world by Deloitte and Thomson Reuters highlighted that the average cost of developing a new medicine is now US$ 1.1 billion with the most successful company in the group studied incurred an average cost of just US$ 315 million, while at the other extreme, another company spent US$ 2.8 billion.

How much of it then covers the cost of failures and who pays for such inefficiencies?

Some experts have gone even further:

Some experts in this area have gone even further arguing that pharmaceutical R&D expenses are over stated and the real costs are much less.

An article titled “Demythologizing the high costs of pharmaceutical research”, published by the London School of Economics and Political Science in 2011 indicates that the total cost from the discovery and development stages of a new drug to its market launch was around US$ 802 million in the year 2000. This was worked out in 2003 by the ‘Tuft Center for the Study of Drug Development’ in Boston, USA.

However, in 2006 this figure increased by 64 per cent to US$ 1.32 billion, as reported by a large overseas pharmaceutical industry association.

The authors of the above article also mentioned that the following factors were not considered while working out the 2006 figure of US$ 1.32 billion:

▪    The tax exemptions that the companies avail for investing in R&D.

▪   Tax write-offs amount to taxpayers’ contributing almost 40% of the R&D cost.

▪   The cost of basic research should not have been included, as these are mostly         undertaken by public funded universities or laboratories.

The article commented that ‘half the R&D costs are inflated estimates of profits that companies could have made if they had invested in the stock market instead of R&D and include exaggerated expenses on clinical trials’.

“High R&D costs have been the industry’s excuses for charging high prices”:

In the same article the authors strongly commented as follows:

“Pharmaceutical companies have a strong vested interest in maximizing figures for R&D as high research and development costs have been the industry’s excuse for charging high prices. It has also helped generating political capital worth billions in tax concessions and price protection in the form of increasing patent terms and extending data exclusivity.”

The study concludes by highlighting that “the real R&D cost for a drug borne by a pharmaceutical company is probably about US$ 60 million.”

 Another perspective to the “R&D Factor”:

book titled “Pharmaceutical R&D: Costs, Risks, and Rewards”, published by the government of USA gives another perspective to the “R&D Factor”. It articulates that the three most important components of R&D investments are:

  • Money
  • Time
  • Risk

Money is just one component of investment, along with a long duration of time, to reap benefits of success, which is intertwined with a very high risk of failure. The investors in the pharmaceutical R&D projects not only take into account how much investment is required for the project against expected financial returns, but also the timing of inflow and outflow of fund with associated risks.  It is thus quite understandable that longer is the wait for the investors to get their real return, greater will be their expectations for the same.

This publication also highlights that the cost of bringing a new drug from ‘mind to market’ depends on the quality and sophistication of science and technology involved in a particular R&D process together with associated investment requirements for the same.

In addition, regulatory demand to get marketing approval of a complex molecule for various serious disease types is also getting more and more stringent, significantly increasing their cost of clinical development in tandem. All these factors when taken together, the authors argue, make the cost of R&D not only very high, but unpredictable too.

Thus to summarize from the above study, high pharmaceutical R&D costs involve:

  • Sophisticated science and technology dependent high up-front financial investments
  • A long and indefinite period of negative cash flow
  • High tangible and intangible costs for acquiring technology with rapid trend of obsolescence
  • High risk of failure at any stage of product development

Even reengineered R&D model may not be sustainable:

Many research scientists have already highlighted that sharp focus in some critical areas may help containing the R&D expenditure to a considerable extent and also would help avoiding the cost of failures significantly. The savings thus made, in turn, can fund a larger number of R&D projects.

The areas identified are as follows:

  • Early stage identification of unviable new molecules and jettisoning them quickly.
  • Newer cost efficient R&D models.
  • Significant reduction in drug development time. 

Unfortunately, sustainability of the above model too still remains in the realm of a wishful thinking and raises a serious question mark to many for various other reasons.

Should Pharmaceutical R&D move away from its traditional models?

Thus the critical point to ponder today, should the Pharmaceutical R&D now move from its traditional comfort zone of expensive one company initiative to a much less charted frontier of sharing drug discovery involving many players? If this overall approach gains acceptance sooner by all concerned, it could lead to increase in R&D productivity significantly at a much lesser cost, benefiting the patients community at large.

Finding right pathway in this direction is more important today than ever before, as the R&D productivity of the global pharmaceutical industry, in general, keeps going south and that too at a faster pace, prompting major cuts in the absolute R&D expenditure by many, as compared to the previous year.

A global R&D spend comparison (2011 and 12):

R&D expenditures in absolute terms of the following global companies in 2011 and 2012, without drawing any relationship to their respective R&D productivity, were reportedly as follows:

Company

2012

US$ Bn.

2011

US$ Bn.

% Change

% of Sale

Roche

10.10

8.81

13.7

21.0

Novartis

9.33

9.58

(3.0)

16.4

Merck

8.16

8.46

(4.0)

17.0

Pfizer

7.90

9.10

(13.0)

13.3

J&J

7.66

7.54

1.5

11.6

Sanofi

6.40

6.24

2.5

14.1

GSK

5.95

6.01

(1.0)

15.0

Eli Lilly

5.30

5.00

5.0

23.4

AstraZeneca

5.24

5.52

(5.0)

18.8

Abbott Labs

4.32

4.12

4.7

10.8

Total

70.36

70.38

 

 

Source: Fierce Biotech, March 18, 2013

This particular table points out that five out of the reported ten companies had to spend less towards R&D in 2012 as compared to 2011 and four out of the remaining five players were able to increase their R&D spend just marginally.

Thus the same question comes at the top of mind yet again: is the current pharmaceutical R&D model sustainable and working with optimal productivity and cost efficiency for  the benefits of patients?

Towards greater sustainability of the R&D model: 

A July 2010 study of Frost & Sullivan reports, “Open source innovation increasingly being used to promote innovation in the drug discovery process and boost bottom-line”.

It underscores the urgent need for the global pharmaceutical companies to respond to the challenges of high cost and low productivity in their respective R&D initiatives, in general.

The ‘Open Innovation’ model assumes even greater importance today, as we have noted above, to avoid  huge costs of R&D failures, which are eventually passed on to the patients through the drug pricing mechanism.

‘Open Innovation’ model, as they proposed, will be most appropriate to even promote highly innovative approaches in the drug discovery process bringing many brilliant scientific minds together from across the world.

The key objective of ‘Open Innovation’ in pharmaceuticals is, therefore, to encourage drug discovery initiatives at a much lesser cost, especially for non-infectious chronic diseases or the dreaded ailments like Cancer, Parkinson’s, Alzheimer, Multiple Sclerosis, including many neglected diseases of the developing countries, making innovative drugs affordable even to the marginalized section of the society.  

“Open Innovation” is very successful in IT industry:

The concept of ‘Open Innovation’ is being quite successfully used in the Information Technology (IT) industry since nearly three decades across the world, including India. Web Technology, Linux Operating System (OS) and even the modern day ‘Android’ are excellent examples of commercially successful ‘Open innovation’ model in IT,

In the sphere of Biotechnology ‘Human Genome Sequencing’ is another remarkable outcome of such type of R&D model. Therefore, why not a similar model be actively pursued in a much larger scale to discover newer and innovative drugs at a much lesser cost for greater access to patients?

Issues involved:

In the evolving process of ‘Open Innovation’ in pharma there are some issues to be addressed and at the same time some loose knots to be tightened to make the process increasingly more user friendly and robust. Many experts feel that the key issues for the ‘Open Innovation’ model are as follows:

▪   Who will fund the project and how much?

▪   Who will lead the project?

▪   Who will coordinate the project and find talents?

▪   Who will take it through clinical development and regulatory approval process?

That said, all these issues do not seem to be insurmountable problems at all to add greater speed and efficiency to the process, as the saying goes, ‘where there is a will, there is a way’.

Conclusion: 

Having deliberated on this issue as above, I reckon, there is a dire need to make the process of offering innovative drugs at affordable prices to the patients sustainable over a long period of time, for the sake of all.

This can happen only when there will be a desire to step into the uncharted frontier, coming out of much beaten and a high cost tract of R&D, especially after having picked-up the low hanging fruits. Dove tailing the passion for business excellence with the patients’ interest, dispassionately, will then be the name of the game.

As the Reuters article quoting the CEO of a global pharma major points out, in addition to improvements in research, increasing global demand for medicines and the explosion in the volume of products sold in emerging markets should also contribute to lower unit costs of the innovative drugs ensuring their greater access to patients.

This process, in turn, will help fostering a win-win situation for all stakeholders, exploding “one of the great myths of the industry” – The ‘R&D Factor’.

By: Tapan J. Ray 

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.