The First Pharmaceuticals Census of India – a commendable initiative by the National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA)

Currently there is indeed a crying need for the pharmaceutical industry to generate a robust data base to formulate not only various healthcare related policies, but also to measure the level of their effective implementation. In the absence of such dependable and credible facts, most of the arguments, which take place between the government and other stakeholders, are mainly based on ‘your views’ versus ‘our views’.

An admirable initiative:

To address this critical need, more than a couple of years ago in February 2008, the National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA) announced their intent to initiate the first pharmaceuticals census of India (FPCI). The main purpose of this census is to create a structured, comprehensive and dependable pharmaceutical industry related database in the country to capture valuable information, which could be prudently used by the government towards effective planning, policy making and good governance. NPPA is also expected to publish this census data for all stakeholders and other ministries within the government for appropriate actions.

Create a ‘Common Thread’:

This ‘Pharmaceutical Map’, I guess, will be able to create a common thread for the Ministry of Health, Departments of Pharmaceuticals and Biotechnology, Ministry of Commerce & Industries and the Ministry of Finance based on which each of them will frame their respective healthcare related policies targeting the needs of a vast majority of the population of the country, for inclusive growth.

The ‘Methodology’ will be very important:

I understand that the FPCI is expected to cover over 10,000 manufacturing units in the country in a well-structured manner to produce an elaborate healthcare related credible data bank for India. The methodology that will be followed for this census will determine the credibility of the data thus generated.

My expectation from the FPCI is that, as announced, this will be able to provide credible details, among others, on the following ten key areas of the Pharmaceutical Manufacturing Units (PMUs) to enable the policy makers to frame policies based on the ground realities and at the same time measure the level of their effective implementations:

• Turnover by types and class (Micro, Small, Medium, and Large)
• Locations with separate details of Export Oriented Units (EOUs)
• Capacity installed, capacity utilized by major products
• Number of ‘own’ and ‘loan’ licenses units and by type of units, license issued by the respective state
drug controllers
• Types, class and pattern (plant & machinery, land & building) of investments
• Consumption of indigenous and imported inputs and utilities
• Adherence to GMP
• Product types and pricing
• Pattern of expenditure on R&D, clinical trials and quality control
• Employment generated in the country by the pharma sector

All these data will be available state-wise and district-wise by class and types of industry (API, formulations), among others.

It has been reported that NPPA has by now progressed quite a lot with the FPCI and the Final Report may be published soon.

Conclusion:

It would have been excellent, if FPCI would also have generated data on ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ in India.

Be that as it may, this is an admirable initiative by the NPPA. Data thus generated will be immensely useful to all stakeholders, if updated in every 3 to 5 years to maintain their relevance.

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Absence of appropriate and functional ‘Cold Chain’ infrastructure dedicated to pharmaceutical and bio-pharmaceutical products at the Indian airports and seaports – A serious concern

Drugs are complex entities and many of these are temperature sensitive in nature. This entails them requiring precise and continuous temperature conditions in transit in order to retain their potency and resultant efficacy. Many lifesaving drugs including biotech products and vaccines fall under such category. Any break in the cold chain process for such drugs can lead to immediate denaturing or deterioration in their quality parameters. It is imperative that a careful consideration is given by all concerned including government agencies at the sea port, airports while providing storage space at their warehouses for such drugs.
Current bottlenecks: Currently in India there are bottlenecks at the Airports that include authorities not being able to assure cold room space despite getting advance notices from the companies about the possible unloading of large consignments of temperature sensitive products. Some of the other gaps include improper training and refresher courses for some of the handling staff who handles such products at the Airport. Storage of Pharmaceutical products along with meat and food products is against the GMP norms.

Lack of special temperature control:

Cold Chain Medicines require special temperature controlled Cold storage. There are two commonly recommended temperatures specified on labels on cold chain products:

1. Products requiring temperature between 2 to 8 degree centigrade
2. Products requiring temperature around -10 to -20 degree centigrade

Cold Chain is an uninterrupted series of storage and distribution activities which maintains required temperature range of 2 to 8 degree centigrade or -10 to -20 degree centigrade as per product requirement.

Ensuring the right product quality:

Proper Cold Chain Management of pharmaceuticals will ensure that the right quality of such products is maintained not only during storage but during transportation also to meet right regulatory specifications. There is a greater focus and stringent regulatory guidelines and standards today in the developed markets around the world on strict adherence to right storage and transportation process for cold chain sensitive pharmaceuticals.

It should be kept in mind always that Cold Chain products are mostly sensitive biological substances that can become less effective or lose potency if not properly stored.
Some examples:

Products requiring 2 to 8 degree storage will not be effective if:

i. They are frozen or stored below 2 degree centigrade
ii. Exposed to temperatures above 8 degree centigrade
iii. Exposed to direct sunlight or fluorescent light

The loss of potency is cumulative and irreversible. If products are exposed to conditions outside the established range, the quality may be adversely affected, reducing their assigned shelf life, diminishing their effectiveness or making them ineffective. The exposed product may look the same – the loss of potency may not be visible.

Quality of storage is critical:

Quality of storage and handling of Cold Chain Pharmaceutical products at Airports and Seaports in the course of Export from or Import into India requires special care and attention. Since multiple products are stored and handled at Seaports/ Airports, personnel may not be able to appreciate the special need for Cold Chain Pharmaceuticals Storage & Handling. Thus, there should be Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs) for storage and handling of pharmaceuticals laid down by the Port Management authorities, so that the personnel handling pharmaceuticals strictly adhere to the pre-set norms.

Rapidly growing demand of cold-Chain facilities:

Pharmaceutical Products for which efficient Cold Chain facilities are required are rapidly growing in numbers. In its movement across the supply chain from the manufacturers to the patient, the medicines are handled and stored by various stakeholders like transporters, Airports, Sea ports, Distributors, Stockists, Retailers etc. Since the storage and handling of Cold Chain Pharmaceutical Products are unique, an uninterrupted Cold Chain is to be maintained in the entire supply chain network without any discontinuity, even for a short while, so that medicinal products of high quality reach the patients, always. Thus it is very important for all concerned stakeholders to ensure maintenance of proper Cold Chain facility.

Currently no ‘Pharma Zones’ in India:

At present there are no ‘Pharma Zones’ in India. However, Mumbai International Airport Private Limited (MIAL) has created 4 new cold rooms for pharmaceuticals and Delhi International Airports Limited (DIAL) has reported to have assured that the new Cargo Terminal, which is expected to be commissioned later in the year, will have around 4000 square metres of additional cold room capacity compared to the current cold room capacity of 400 square metres. Similarly, MIAL has agreed for a dedicated Cold Room facility for Pharmaceutical Products in the proposed new set–up.

The serious Concern continues:

Poor cold room storage facility at the country’s major airports and seaports is indeed an ongoing serious concern.

Unfortunately, even today, pharmaceuticals and bio-pharmaceuticals are, by and large, treated like just any other common product at our ports. It is high time, the authorities should note that due to inadequate storage and handling of these lifesaving drugs at ports, high dwell time and dispersed multiple authorities from whom clearances are required, the quality of these products may get adversely affected exposing the user patients at a great risk. The absence of a temperature monitoring mechanism in such facilities adds to the concern.

Recent Plan of “Pharma Zones” in India:

The DCGI has planned a separate dedicated controlled environment – ‘Pharma Zone’, within the cargo premises at Airports and Sea Ports for proper storage of Pharmaceutical products in line with Good Manufacturing Practices and Good Distribution Practices so as to assure the quality, safety and efficacy of Pharma products, which are to be either imported or exported.

Need for outsourcing Cold Chain services:

In the developed markets of the world there are private cold chain storage and third party logistics providers to offer contract logistics and storage services especially to cater to the growing demands Biopharmaceutical segment, which is the fastest growing manufacturing sector within global pharmaceutical industry.

Thus it is expected that spend of the Biopharmaceutical companies towards outsourcing of cold chain facilities will grow by over 10 – 15% for the next three to five years in the developed markets. India being the second largest producers of Biopharmaceuticals after China, similar opportunities exist in the country.

In India some renowned international courier companies like DHL and World Courier have been reported to have developed an efficient cold-chain management process, especially for the pharmaceutical companies to maintain the cold chain in their logistics network.

Conclusion:

An efficient cold chain infrastructure and its efficient management within the country will help immensely to Indian domestic pharmaceutical companies as they are exploring more and more opportunities to export pharmaceuticals in the global market. To achieve this objective modern cold chain warehouses, their efficient management as per regulatory guidelines will play a key role in ensuring right product quality standard.

Over a period of time cold-chain management practices of global standards will be required to achieve this goal. Currently for both import and export of cold-chain sensitive pharmaceuticals, as indicated, before, this area in particular poses to be one of the key challenges encountered by the industry to maintain high product quality during shipment. Individual pharmaceutical companies like Eli Lilly, India have their own vehicles equipped with cold-chain management systems for transportation of their cold chain sensitive products.

Greater initiative by the DCGI in this area in collaboration with the pharmaceutical industry as a whole, sooner, is absolutely essential, for the patients’ sake.

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Path-breaking medicines are just not enough… a comprehensive healthcare reform in India is long overdue

The Prime Minister of India, Dr. Manmohan Singh reiterated the following in his speech at the 30th Convocation of PGIMER, Chandigarh on November 3, 2009:

”As in economics, so as in medicine too, it is easy to get lost in high level research and forget the ground realities. A common perception among the public is that institutions running with public money end up as ivory towers. It is widely felt that the poor and under-privileged sections of our population do not have adequate access to the health care system. The system needs structural reforms to improve the quality of delivery of services at the grass-root level. It has to be more sensitive to the needs of our women and children. We must also recognize that a hospital centered curative approach to health care has proved to be excessively costly even in the advanced rich developed countries. The debate on health sector reforms is going on in US is indicative of what I have mentioned just now. A more balanced approach would be to lay due emphasis on preventive health care”.

Some key research findings on ‘Public Health’:

Interesting research studies on public health highlight two very interesting points:

- Health of an individual is as much an integral function of the related socio-economic factors as it is

influenced by the person’s life style and genomic configurations.
- Socio-economic disparities including the educational status lead to huge disparity in the space of healthcare.

WHO ranking of the ‘World’s Health Systems’:

The WHO ranking of the ‘World’s health Systems’ was last produced in 2000. This report is no longer produced by the WHO due to huge complexity of the task.

In this interesting report, the number one pharmaceutical market of the world and the global pioneer in pharmaceutical R&D, the USA features in no. 37, Japan in no. 10, UK in no.18 and France tops the list with no.1 ranking. Among emerging BRIC countries, India stands at no. 112, Russia in no.130 and China in no. 144.

In a relative yardstick, although India scored over the remaining BRIC countries in year 2000, one should keep in mind that China has already undertaken a major healthcare reform in the last year. Early this year, we all have seen how President Obama introduced a new healthcare reform for the USA, despite all odds. India’s major reform in its healthcare space is, therefore, long overdue.

Details of WHO ‘World’s Health Systems’ ranking of the countries are available at the following link:

http://www.photius.com/rankings/healthranks.html

No need to reinvent the wheel:

When we look at the history of development of the developed countries of the world, we observe that all of them had invested and are continuously investing to improve the social framework of the country where education and health get the top priority. Continuous reform measures in these two key areas of any nation have proved to be the key drivers of economic growth. This is a work in continuous progress. Recent healthcare reforms both in China and the USA will vindicate this argument. In India we, therefore, do not require to reinvent the wheel, any more.

It has been observed that reduction of social inequalities ultimately helps to effectively resolve many important healthcare issues. Otherwise, the minority population with adequate access to knowledge, social and monetary power will always have necessary resources available to address their concern towards healthcare, appropriately.

Path breaking medicines are just not enough:

Regular flow of newer and path breaking medicines in India to cure and effectively treat many diseases, have not been able to eliminate either trivial or dreaded diseases, alike. Otherwise, despite having effective curative therapy for malaria, typhoid, cholera, diarrhea/dysentery and venereal diseases, why will people still suffer from such illnesses? Similarly, despite having adequate preventive therapy, like vaccines for diphtheria, tuberculosis, polio, hepatitis and measles, our children still suffer from such diseases.

Reducing socio-economic inequalities is equally important:

All these continue to happen in India, over so many decades, because of socio-economic considerations, as well. Thus, together with comprehensive healthcare reform measures, time bound simultaneous efforts to reduce the socio-economic inequalities will be essential to achieve desirable outcome for the progress of the nation.

Proper focus on education is critical for a desirable health outcome:

Education is of key importance to make any healthcare reform measure to work effectively. Very recently we have witnessed some major reform measures in the area of ‘primary education’ in India. The right to primary education has now been made a fundamental right of every citizen of the country, through a constitutional amendment.

As focus on education is very important to realize the economic potential of any nation, so is equally relevant in the healthcare space of the country. India will not be able to realize its dream to be one of the economic superpowers of the world without a sharp focus and significant resource allocation in these two critical areas – Health and Education, simultaneously.

Progress in the healthcare space of India:

It sounds quite unfair, when one comments that nothing has been achieved in the area of healthcare in India, as is usually done by vested interests with a condescending attitude in various guises. Since independence, India has made progress, may not be highly significant though, with various government sponsored and private healthcare related initiatives, as follows:

- Various key disease awareness/prevention programs across the country, for both communicable and non-communicable diseases.
- Eradication of smallpox
- Excellent progress in polio eradication program
- Country wide primary vaccination program
- Sharp decline in the incidence of tuberculosis
- Significant decrease in mortality rates, due to water-borne diseases.
- Good success to bring malaria under control.
- The mortality rate per thousand of population has come down from 27.4 to 14.8 percent.
- Life expectancy at birth has gone up to 63 years of age.
- Containment of HIV-AIDS
- India has been recognized as the largest producers and global suppliers of generic drugs of all categories and types.
- India has established itself as a global outsourcing hub for Contract Research and Contract Manufacturing Services (CRAMS).
- The country has now been globally recognized as one of the fastest growing emerging markets for the pharmaceuticals

New healthcare initiatives in India:

There are various hurdles though to address the healthcare issues of the country effectively, but these are not definitely insurmountable. National Rural health Mission is indeed an admirable scheme announced by the Government. Similar initiative to provide health insurance program for below the poverty line (BPL) population of the country, is also commendable. However, effectiveness of all such schemes will warrant effective leadership at all levels of their implementation.

Per capita public expenditure towards healthcare is inadequate:

Per capita public expenditure towards healthcare in India is much lower than China and well below other emerging countries like, Brazil, Russia, China, Korea, Turkey and Mexico.

Although spending on healthcare by the government gradually increased in the 80’s overall spending as a percentage of GDP has remained quite the same or marginally decreased over last several years. However, during this period private sector healthcare spend was about 1.5 times of that of the government.

It appears, the government of India is gradually changing its role from the ‘healthcare provider’ to the ‘healthcare enabler’.

High ‘out of pocket’ expenditure towards healthcare in India:

According to a study conducted by the World Bank, per capita healthcare spending in India is around Rs. 32,000 per year and as follows:

- 75 per cent by private household (out of pocket) expenditure
- 15.2 per cent by the state governments
- 5.2 per cent by the central government
- 3.3 percent medical insurance
- 1.3 percent local government and foreign donation

Out of this expenditure, besides small proportion of non-service costs, 58.7 percent is spent towards primary healthcare and 38.8% on secondary and tertiary inpatient care.

Role of the government:

In India the national health policy falls short of specific and well defined measures.

Health being a state subject in India, poor coordination between the center and the state governments and failure to align healthcare services with broader socio-economic developmental measures, throw a great challenge in bringing adequate reform measures in this critical area of the country.

Healthcare reform measures in India are governed by the five-year plans of the country. Although the National Health Policy, 1983 promised healthcare services to all by the year 2000, it fell far short of its promise.

Underutilization of funds:

It is indeed unfortunate that at the end of most of the financial years, almost as a routine, the government authorities surrender their unutilized or underutilized budgetary allocation towards healthcare. This stems mainly from inequitable budgetary allocation to the states and lack of good governance at the public sector healthcare delivery systems.

Encourage deep penetration of ‘Health Insurance’ in India:

As I indicated above, due to unusually high (75 per cent) ‘out of pocket expenses’ towards healthcare services in India, a large majority of its population do not have access to such quality, high cost private healthcare services, when public healthcare machineries fail to deliver.

In this situation an appropriate healthcare financing model, if carefully worked out under ‘public – private partnership initiatives’, is expected to address these pressing healthcare access and affordability issues effectively, especially when it comes to the private high cost and high quality healthcare providers.

Although the opportunity is very significant, due to absence of any robust model of health insurance, just above 3 percent of the Indian population is covered by the organized health insurance in India. Effective penetration of innovative health insurance scheme, looking at the needs of all strata of Indian society will be able to address the critical healthcare financing issue of the country. However, such schemes should be able to address domestic and hospitalization costs of ailments, broadly in line with the health insurance model working in the USA.

The Government of India at the same time will require bringing in some financial reform measures for the health insurance sector to enable the health insurance companies to increase penetration of affordable health insurance schemes across the length and the breadth of the country.

A recent report on healthcare in India:

A recent report published by McKinsey Quarterly, titled ‘A Healthier Future for India’, recommends, subsidizing health care and insurance for the country’s poor people would be necessary to improve the healthcare system. To make the healthcare system of India work satisfactorily, the report also recommends, public-private partnership for better insurance coverage, widespread health education and better disease prevention.

Conclusion:

In my view, the country should adopt a ten pronged approach towards a new healthcare reform process:

1. The government should assume the role of provider of preventive and primary healthcare across the nation to ensure access to healthcare to almost the entire population of the nation.

2. At the same time, the government should play the role of enabler to create public-private partnership (PPP) projects for secondary and tertiary healthcare services at the state and district levels.

3. The issue of affordability of medicine can best be addressed by putting in place a robust model of healthcare financing for all sections of the population of the country. Through PPP a strong and highly competitive health insurance infrastructure needs to be created through innovative fiscal incentives.

4. These insurance companies will be empowered to negotiate all fees payable by the patients for getting their ailments treated including doctors/hospital fees and the cost of medicines, with the concerned persons/companies, with a key objective to ensure access to affordable high quality healthcare to all.

5. Create an independent regulatory body for healthcare services to regulate and monitor the operations of both public and private healthcare providers/institutions, including the health insurance sector.

6. Levy a ‘healthcare cess’ to all, for effective implementation of this new healthcare reform process.

7. Effectively manage the corpus thus generated to achieve the healthcare objectives of the nation through the healthcare services regulatory authority.

8. Make this regulatory authority accountable for ensuring access to affordable high quality healthcare services to the entire population of the country.

9. Make operations of such public healthcare services transparent to the civil society and cost-neutral to the government, through innovative pricing model based on economic status of an individual.

10. Allow independent private healthcare providers to make reasonable profit out of the investments made by them

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Abbott – Piramal deal: the way future is expected to shape up

In my view, these are still very early days for such acquisitions of large domestic Indian pharmaceutical companies by the Global Pharma majors to gain momentum in the country. However, there is no doubt that in the near future, we shall rather witness more strategic collaborations between Indian and Global pharmaceutical companies, especially in the generic space.

Squeezing margin due to cut-throat domestic and international competition may affect future valuation of the domestic companies:

I reckon, the number of such high profile mergers and acquisitions will significantly increase, as and when the valuation of domestic Indian companies appears quite attractive to the global pharma majors. This could happen, as the domestic players face more cut-throat competition both in Indian and international markets, squeezing their profit margin.
Abbott possibly has a well-structured game plan for seemingly high valuation of the deal:
Having said that let me point out, during Ranbaxy-Daiichi Sankyo deal, analysts felt that the valuation of the deal was quite high. US $ 3.7 billion Abbott – Piramal deal has far exceeded even that valuation. Does this deal not make any business sense? I do not think so. Abbott is a financially savvy seasoned player in the M&A space. It is very unlikely that they will enter into any deal, which will not have any strategic and financial business sense.

Big ticket Indian Pharma deals:

So far India has seen four such major deals starting from Ranbaxy – Daiichi Sankyo, Dabur Pharma – Fresenius, Matrix – Myalan and Orchid – Hospira, besides some global collaborative arrangements, such as, Pfizer with Aurobindo/Claris/Strides GSK with DRL, AsraZeneca with Torrent and again Abbott with Zydus Cadila.

Key drivers for these deals:

Such acquisitions and collaborations will be driven by following eight key factors:

1. R&D pipelines of the global innovative companies are drying up
2. Many blockbuster drugs will go off-patent in the near future
3. Cost containment pressure in the western world exerting pressure on the bottom lines
of the global pharma majors
4. Increasing demand of generics in high growth emerging and developing markets
5. The new Healthcare Reform in the US will promote increased usage of generic drugs.
6. The fact that India already produces 20% of the global requirement for generic drugs
increases the attractiveness.
7. The fact of domestic Indian companies account for 35% of ANDAs highlights the future
potential of the respective companies.
8. Highest number of US-FDA approved plants, next to the US, is located in India.

A strategic move by Abbott:

As announced by Abbott from its headquarter in Chicago that Abbott in India will increase its sales four times to around Rs. 11,000 Crores by 2020 with the acquisition of 350 brands of ‘Piramal Healthcare’ business.

Facing the stark reality of a ‘patent Cliff’, cost containment pressures especially in the US and EU, low single digit growth rate of the developed markets and high growth of branded generic dominated emerging markets, Abbott has taken a new global initiative aimed at the emerging markets with the creation of its global ‘Established Products’ Business’. This initiative started with worth US $ 6.2 billion acquisition of branded generic business of Solvay Pharma, which has a sizeable presence in the EU markets.
Recently announced licensing agreement of Abbott with Zydus Cadila to market 24 products initially in 15 emerging markets of the world is another step towards this direction.

Advantage Abbott India:

The asset based acquisition of ‘Piramal Healthcare’ by Abbott will help its Indian arm to increase its domestic market penetration, significantly, both for branded generic and patented products in urban, semi-urban and rural markets spearheaded by around 7000 strong sales force. This strategy perhaps will also help Abbott in India distancing itself from the number 2, in the Indian Pharma league table, probably with a handsome margin.

Global players want a risk-cover with the generic business and minimize tough competition:

Like Abbott, it is quite likely that other major global players are also planning to reduce their business risks by expanding the business from mainly high risk and expensive R&D intensive patented products to a more predictable and rapidly expanding branded generic business.

Will such move have any significant effect on competition?

Such M&A initiatives may seemingly minimize the cut throat competition from large generic players from India. However, I do not envisage any significant impact on over all competition between the generic players for such moves, as their will be mounting competition from more number of new entrants and emerging players, entry barrier in Indian generic pharmaceutical market being quite low.

Conclusion:

In the globalized economy where the ‘world is flat’ such types of business consolidation initiatives are inevitable. The domestic Indian companies across the industry are also in the prowl for suitable global targets, which are at times of world class ‘Crown Jewels’ like Arcelor, Chorus or Jaguar/Land Rover. Pharmaceutical industry is, therefore, no exception.

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Challenges for the Pharmaceutical Industry in the new paradigm – there are more questions than answers

To get insight into the future challenges of the pharmaceutical industry in general ‘Complete Medical Group’of U.K recently conducted a study with a sizeable number of senior participants from the pharmaceutical companies of various sizes and involving many countries. The survey covered participants from various functional areas like, marketing, product development, commercial, pricing and other important areas.
The study indicates that a paradigm shift has taken place in the global pharmaceutical industry, where continuation with the business strategies of the old paradigm will no longer be a pragmatic approach. Besides this finding, my experience also vindicates that today is not a mega yesterday, just as tomorrow will not be a mega today.
Learning from the results of the above study, which brought out several big challenges facing the pharmaceutical industry in the new paradigm, my submissions are as follows:

Gaining greater market access and increasing pressure of price containment:

The increasing power of payors in the developed world and the interventions of the Government in the developing countries are creating an all pervasive pricing pressure. This critical development together with the issues related to gaining greater market access remain a prime concern for the future.

Better understanding of the new and differential value offerings that the doctors and patients will increasingly look for beyond the physical pharmaceutical products, will indeed be the cutting edge for the winners, in this new ball game.

Questioning the relevance of the current business model:
Top managements of the pharmaceutical companies have already started evaluating the relevance of the current global pharmaceutical business model. They will now need to include in their strategy wider areas of healthcare value delivery system with a holistic disease management focus. Only treatment of diseases will not be considered just enough with an offering of various type medications. Added value with disease prevention initiatives and appropriately managing quality of life of the patients, especially in case of chronic ailments, will assume increasing importance in the pharmaceutical business process.

Greater innovation across the pharmaceutical value chain:
Greater and more frequent incremental innovation across the pharmaceutical Value Chain will be critical success factors. The ability to really harness new technologies, rather than just recognize their potential, and the flexibility to adapt to the fast changing and demanding regulatory environment together with patients’ newer value requirements, should be an important part of the business strategy of a pharmaceutical company in the new world order.

Well integrated decision making processes:
More complex, highly fragmented and cut throat competition, especially in the branded generic market, have created a need for better, more aligned and integrated decision making process across various functional areas of the pharmaceutical business. Avoiding silos and empire building have long been a significant issue, especially for big pharmaceutical companies. Part of better decision making will include more pragmatic and efficient investment decisions and jettisoning all those activities, which are duplications and will no longer deliver incremental intrinsic or extrinsic differential value to the stakeholders.

Customer engagement:
Growing complexity of the prevailing business environment, including most recent change in the MCI regulations for the doctors are making meaningful interactions with the customers and decision makers increasingly challenging. There is a greater need for better management of the pharmaceutical communications channels to strike a right balance between ‘pushing’ information to the doctors and patients and helping them ‘pull’ the relevant information whenever required.

Let me hasten to add, even in the new paradigm, the fundamental way the pharmaceutical industry has been attempting to address these critical issues over decades, has not changed much. To unleash the future growth potential the pharmaceutical companies are still moving around the same old issues like, innovative new product development, scientific sales and marketing, customer focus, application of information technology (IT) in all areas of strategy making process including supply chain, building mega product brands, continuing medical education, greater market penetration skills, to name just a few.

Such responses do ring an alarm bell to me. It is known to many that most of the pharmaceutical companies have been investing in all these areas since long and yet these are the very points being highlighted even in the new paradigm to meet the “Challenge of Change”. The moot question will therefore be, what have all investments in these areas achieved, so far? And why have we not been able to address the needs of the new world order focusing with these tools? More importantly, if we do not address these issues moving ‘outside the box’ and with ‘lateral thinking’ even now, one can well imagine what could the implications be in the times to come?

The future Business Model will need to different:
I believe, the underlying business model of large global organizations focused primarily on developing New Chemical/Molecular Entities (NCEs/NMEs) from initial product discovery through development and commercialization, is unlikely to continue to yield results in the new era. The issue of ‘Patent Cliff’ has already started haunting the research based companies and assuming larger dimensions day by day.
Global pharmaceutical businesses have started evolving beyond patented drugs and including generics to create more diversified and robust healthcare businesses. It is quite evident from the strategies of many larger global pharmaceutical companies that this process has already begun.

Will R&D be collaborative in nature in future?
Currently R&D cost to launch a new patented drug in the market is reported to be around US$ 1.8 – 2.0 billion with accompanying huge risk factors. Thus there is a need to re-evaluate the R&D model of the pharmaceutical companies to make it cost effective with lesser built-in risk factors.
Could there be a collaborative model for R&D, where multiple stakeholders will join hands to discover new patented molecules? In this model all involved parties would be in agreement on what will be considered as important innovations and share the risk and reward of R&D as the collaborative initiative progresses. The Translational Medicine Research Collaboration (TMRC) partnering with Pfizer and others, ‘Patent Pool’ initiative for tropical diseases of GSK and OSDD for Tuberculosis by CSIR in India are examples of steps taken towards this direction.
Surely such collaborative initiatives are not easy but they are not uncommon either, as we witness these, especially in areas like IT. So why cost effective collaborative R&D projects be not initiated to create a win-win situation for all stakeholders in the healthcare space?

Could building pharmaceutical mega brands go beyond just a product for better ROI?
Building brands involve creating equity around an entity that delivers value to the customer, over and above the key functional properties of product. Traditionally, the global pharmaceutical industry has been largely focusing on building mega product brands having specific product life cycle say about ten years, especially for patented products.

Could the core idea of building a mega pharmaceutical brand be substantially different, in future?
I reckon, yes. Instead of investing huge sums in building pharmaceutical product brands with very limited product life cycle (for patented products), a more dynamic, powerful and cost efficient brand building process could well entail focusing on the ‘Corporate franchise’ brands with a mix of both patented and generic products in different price bands for different customer segments within a specific therapy category or disease area.

So instead of consistently creating, building and watching the mega patented pharmaceutical brands grow, mature and die, pharmaceutical companies could well encash the real opportunity to build long term emotional equity into their brands, hopefully without the suffocating NPPA restrictions associated with the current product brands.

Who knows, tomorrow’s list of the world’s top mega brands will not be dominated by the likes of Lipitor, Nexium, Plavix or Advair, but perhaps by quite a different types of mega brands like for example, GSK Vaccines, Sanofi-aventis Endocrinology, Novo-Nordisk Diabetic Care, Abbott Nutrition or Pfizer Cardiac Care.

Serum Institute Vaccines could be considered as one such brand for vaccines as a category, created within the pharmaceutical arena in India, over a long period of time.

Conclusion:
It is indeed quite clear now that the pharmaceutical business models are undergoing a serious re-evaluation in the new paradigm. I get a sense that the change is inevitable due to a variety of trends that are squeezing both sales and margins, posing severe challenges towards R&D, product development, marketing and communications.

As I have deliberated, some kind of solutions are gradually emerging. However, the key questions of how profound will this change be and how well the pharmaceutical companies are prepared to counter these changes, still remain unanswered.

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

To avoid “Heparin” like tragedy in future, a robust “supply chain integrity and security” system is of critical importance

Globally the pharmaceutical industry is going through a metamorphosis. The types of changes that are taking place today globally, perhaps has no precedence..

The key drivers of these changes are mainly the following:

1. A large number of patent expiration hugely impacting the top-line growth
2. Research pipeline is drying-up
3. The cost of bringing a new molecule from the ‘mind to market’ has now touched around U.S$ 1.75 billion
4. Regulatory requirement to get the marketing approval is getting more and more stringent, basically for patients’ safety, making clinical development more expensive and time consuming
5. Cost containment measures of various governments around the world is putting an immense pressure on product price, adversely affecting the profit margin

Strategic measures of enormous significance:

All these are triggering other sets of consequential events of enormous significance. Among those following key corporate strategic measures indeed stand out:

1. More mergers and acquisitions of various sizes and scales to achieve both revenue and cost synergy, with new products and newer types of resources
2. Transformation in the fundamental operating models, e.g. R&D focused companies like Pfizer, GSK, sanofi aventis are extending their business interest to the pharmaceutical generics space
3. Increasing globalization and greater focus on the emerging markets of the world like, Brazil, Russia, India, China, Turkey, Mexico
4. Growing emphasis on partnering, as we see in India, like for example, between Pfizer and Aurobindo, Claris, GSK with Dr. Reddy’s Lab (DRL)
5. Global outsourcing in the ‘Contract Research and Manufacturing Services (CRAMs)’’space, mainly to rationalize costs and deliver the bottom lines, when the top line is under immense pressure.

Demand on all round effectiveness of the “Supply Chain”:
The changing requirements of all types, in sales and marketing, manufacturing and research and development have created a challenging, if not a rather volatile operating environment. In this situation supply chain will increasingly play a key role to ensure that the right product is available at the right place, at the right time, at a right price and following the right process…always.

Outsourcing initiative is not just about cost:
There is at the same time, a new trend emerging for increased outsourcing initiative, especially from countries like India and China. This initiative, which in turn is in the process of making these two countries the key global outsourcing hubs, is definitely not all due to just cost advantages. It encompasses increased integrated value proposition for the customers. Cost is just one of the key factors, others being quality, speed and suppliers’ reliability. Nothing in this value chain is mutually exclusive. Supply Chain will need to go through a set of complex algorithms to strike a right balance between all these vital parameters.

Robust “supply chain integrity and security’ will assume critical importance:
In the days to come by one of the greatest challenges in supply chain management will be to improve the supply chain integrity and security.
An appropriate definition of integrity for supply chains is:

“the requirement that the system performs its intended function in an unimpaired manner, free from deliberate or inadvertent manipulation.”
A safe and secure supply chain is definitely not a new requirement. However, in the list of priority of importance, it has now come up significantly compared to what it was just a few years back.

Are the pharmaceutical companies aligned on this issue?
Though the issue of improving the supply chain integrity and security has now assumed global importance, unfortunately, any uniformity in national regulatory requirements for this vital parameter is glaringly missing. Such a lack of regulatory uniformity clearly highlights that the pharmaceutical companies, engaged in manufacturing, are still not aligned with each other on what will be the right way to ensure absolute integrity, safety and security in the supply chain operating process to guarantee patients’ safety.

RFID is just one component of supply chain integrity:
Globally many Pharmaceutical Companies are getting engaged in improving supply chain integrity, security and patient safety with the introduction RFID. This, as many may know, is an inventory tracking system for improved product traceability, which in turn extends some protection to its customers with genuine products from the genuine pharmaceutical manufacturers. It is worth noting that RFID is just one component of overall patients’ safety initiative.

Suppliers’ qualification process through stringent ‘supplier audit’ is of critical importance:
Along with high tech measures like RFID, to improve supply chain integrity, I reckon, pharmaceutical companies will need to further enhance their respective supplier qualification process.
The process of supplier audits should include all important and critical areas of manufacturing, testing and quality, related to each individual product. Only a stringent supplier qualification process will be able to guarantee integrity, safety and the quality of products from the suppliers.

Heparin tragedy, where the supply chain integrity was grossly violated:
Before I conclude, I would like reinforce my recommendation with the example of Heparin tragedy where the supply chain integrity was violated and seriously challenged thereafter.

In the beginning of 2008, there were media reports on serious adverse drug events, some even fatal, with Heparin, a highly-sulfated glycosaminoglycan of Baxter International. Heparin is widely used as an injectable anticoagulant. Baxter voluntarily recalled almost all their Heparin products in the U.S. Around 80 people died from contaminated Heparin products in the U.S. The US FDA reported that such contaminated Heparin was detected from at least 12 other countries.

A joint investigation conducted by Baxter and the US FDA ascertained that the Heparin used in batches associated with the serious adverse drug events was contaminated with over sulfated chondroitin sulfate (OSCS). It was reported that his Heparin was supplied to Baxter by Scientific Protein Laboratories, Changzhou, China.

The cost of OSCS is just a fraction of the ingredient used in Heparin. Being driven by the criminal profiteering motive the manufacturers in Changzhou, China had reportedly used OSCS for highly-sulfated glycosaminoglycan as the former could not be detected by the pharmacopeia test in use, until 2008. This is because OSCS mimics Heparin in the pharmacopeia test and thus could not be detected in the case in question.
Post this criminal event, at present, all over the world more specific pharmacopeia test methods have been adopted for Heparin.

Conclusion:
Let us all ensure that such a tragedy does not get repeated in future due to a breach in the supply chain integrity, anywhere in the world…for the patients’ sake.
In today’s deliberations I am sure this issue will be touched upon to ponder over the possible implementable steps to address such future threats effectively.

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

A global pharmaceutical iconoclast, who sees “Fortune” beyond the creamy top layers of the society … even at the bottom of the Pyramid

In March 2009 GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) unraveled a path breaking vision, within the global pharmaceutical industry, with the creation of a ‘voluntary patent pool’to spark development of new treatments for neglected diseases of the poorest countries of the world.

The head honcho of GSK Andrew Witty articulated, as reported by Reuters, ‘he feels that this is the right way to help research, especially of tropical diseases like malaria, filariasis, cholera etc. to meet the unmet needs of the poorer population of the world’.

Cares for the poor:
Simultaneously, Witty also announced that GSK will sell its patented medicines in the 50 poorest countries of the world at 25% of their cost in the developed nations and invest 20% of profits made in these poorest countries to help creating and developing local healthcare infrastructure and treatment facilities for the indigenous population.

It appeared to me that this young global pharma CEO is charting the yet uncharted frontiers where there are no footsteps to follow. Witty attained this iconic status when he aired his views without slightest hesitation by admitting openly, “Society expects us to do more in addressing these issues. To be frank, I agree. We have the capacity to do more and we can do more”.

Challenged the global pharmaceutical industry:
The young CEO, to utter surprise of many, further added, “he was challenging the industry to go further to address global health problems by being more flexible on patent protection and pricing in the neediest countries”.

That was March 2009…Came March 2010…

Repeated the firm resolve:
During his visit to India in March 2010, Witty reiterated the same resolve with unequivocal clarity. When a Journalist from “The Economics Times” asked him, ‘There are concerns among some of your global peers about the patent and regulatory environment in this country. Are you concerned with the existing regulatory environment in India?’, Witty replied with his usual conviction and élan as follows:

“I am relatively relaxed with the Indian regulatory environment. The government has made it clear about the direction to have an intellectual property (IP) mechanism and to be TRIPS compliant. Some people are unrealistic and want everything to change overnight. But we should be absolutely realistic about pricing to keep it affordable for India. If someone has the IP right, it does not mean that it should make it inaccessible for lower income people. Over the next 10-15 years India will become increasingly IP defined market.”

Is it a mere ‘lip service?’:
If you ask me, does this leader belong to a different genre? I shall reply with an emphatic ‘yes’. Andrew Witty seems to be indeed ‘walking the talk’ and is understandably quite capable of thinking much beyond of pleasing ‘The Wall Street’ and the likes of it, just with quarter to quarter business performance and ‘guidance’. He thinks about the patients both rich and poor. There are no reasons to doubt this patient-centric noble intent, Nor does it appear to me as a mere ‘lip service’.

One can interpret a ‘one-off statement’ made by any global pharma CEO in a way that one would like to. However, repetition of the same statement time and again in different counties possibly reflects nothing but firm resolves of a young visionary, determined to translate the same into reality with unprecedented courage.

Conclusion:
This iconic CEO, I reckon, is doing no charity or philanthropy with his path breaking vision, as those are not certainly the purpose of any business. Neither should one do charity or philanthropy with shareholders’ money and without their clear consent. Andrew Witty, in my view, perhaps is in the same page as with the management Guru C.K. Prahalad, who first postulated, now an oft repeated hypothesis, ‘The fortune at the bottom of the pyramid’.
Witty, as I have been witnessing, has already demonstrated his prowess with the traditional pharmaceutical global business model, in a comparative yardstick. Now professionally equipped with a strong pharmaceutical marketing background, honed over so many years, I am sure, Andrew will succeed even more in curving out a lion’s share of the global pharmaceutical business for his company, in the long run, creating a win-win situation for much over six billion global people, including a vast majority of the ailing, poor, neglected, hungry and marginalized population of the world.
By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Are common patients in India just as the pawns of the game of chess or the victims of circumstances or both, in the socio-economic milieu of the country?

“Public healthcare in India has the power to deliver improved health outcomes, as demonstrated by a growing number of national and international examples. However, supportive policies need to be put in place in order to change traditional determinants of health,”said Professor Sir Andrew Haines, Director, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine at the third foundation day function of the Public Health Foundation of India (PHFI), not so long ago.The healthcare industry of India has indeed this power, which can catapult the industry to a growth orbit to generate an impressive revenue of around US$.150 billion by 2017 as estimated by India Brand Equity Foundation (IBEF) in November 2009. This growth will be driven primarily by the private investments in country.Be that as it may, the current healthcare standard and infrastructure in India, as we all know, is far from satisfactory. Though we have some healthcare centers of excellence spread sporadically across various cities and towns of India, public healthcare facilities are grossly inadequate to satisfy the current healthcare demand of the common man of India.

Healthcare spends in India:

Although total health spending of the nation is around 6 percent of its GDP being one of the highest within the developing countries of the world, public expenditure towards healthcare is mere 0.9 percent of the GDP and constitutes just a quarter of the total healthcare cost of the nation. According to a World Bank study, around 75 percent of the per capita spending are out of pocket expenditure of individual households, state and the union governments contribute around 15.2 percent and 5.2 percent respectively, health insurance and employers contribute just 3.3 percent and foreign donors and state municipalities contributing the balance of 1.3 percent.

Out of this meager allocated expenditure only 58.7% goes for the primary care.

Four essentials in Primary Healthcare:

When it comes to Primary Healthcare, following are the well accepted essentials that the government should effectively address:

1. Healthcare coverage to all, through adequate supply of affordable medicines and medical services

2. Patient centric primary healthcare infrastructure and networks

3. Participative management of healthcare delivery models including all stakeholders with a change from ‘supply driven’ to ‘demand driven’ healthcare program and policies

4. Health of the citizens should come in the forefront while formulating all policies for all sectors including industry, environment, education, deployment of labor, just to cite a few examples.

It is unfortunate that most of these essentials have not seen the light of the day, as yet.

The key reason for failure:

Inability on the part of the central government to effectively integrate healthcare with socio-economic, social hygiene, education, nutrition and sanitation related issues is one of the key factors for failure in this critical area.

Moreover in the healthcare planning process, health being a state subject, not much of coordinated planning has so far taken place between the central and the state governments to address the pressing healthcare related issues.

In addition, budgetary allocation and other fiscal measures, as stated earlier, towards healthcare both by the central and the state governments are grossly in adequate.

National Rural Health Mission (NRHM) – a good beginning:

To address this critical issue, the National Rural Health Mission (NRHM) was conceived and announced by the government of India. NRHM aims at providing valuable healthcare services to rural households of the 18 States of the country namely, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Himachal Pradesh, Jharkhand, Jammu and Kashmir, Manipur, Mizoram, Meghalaya, Madhya Pradesh, Nagaland, Orissa, Rajasthan, Sikkim, Tripura, Uttarkhand and Uttar Pradesh, to start with.

The key objectives of this novel scheme are as follows:

• Decrease the infant and maternal mortality rate
• Provide access to public health services for every citizen
• Prevent and control communicable and non-communicable diseases
• Control population as well as ensure gender and demographic balance
• Encourage a healthy lifestyle and alternative systems of medicine through AYUSH

As announced by the government NRHM envisages achieving its objective by strengthening “Panchayati Raj Institutions” and promoting access to improved healthcare through the “Accredited Female Health Activist” (ASHA). It also plans on strengthening existing Primary Health Centers, Community Health Centers and District Health Missions, in addition to making maximum use of Non-Governmental Organizations.

NRHM is expected to improve access to healthcare by 20 to 25 percent in the next three years:

To many the National Rural Health Mission (NRHM) has made a significant difference to the rural health care system in India. It now appears that many more state governments are envisaging to come out with innovative ideas to attract and retain public healthcare professionals in rural areas.

On January 11, 2010, the Health Minister of India Mr. Ghulam Nabi Azad, while inaugurating the FDA headquarters of the Western Zone located in Mumbai, clearly articulated that the NRHM initiative will help improving access to affordable healthcare and modern medicines by around 20 to 25 percent during the next three years. This means that during this period access to modern medicines will increase from the current 35 percent to 60 percent of the population.

If this good intention of the minister gets translated into reality, India will make tremendous progress in the space of healthcare, confirming the remarks made by Professor Sir Andrew Haines, Director, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, as quoted above.

Is NRHM scheme good enough to address all the healthcare needs of the country?

NRHM is indeed a very good and noble initiative taken by the government to address the basic healthcare needs of the rural population, especially the marginalized section of the society. However, this is obviously not expected to work as a magic wand to resolve all the healthcare related issues of the country.

Are patients the pawns of the game of chess or the victims of circumstances or both of the socio-economic systems?

Currently, some important stakeholders of the healthcare industry seem to be using the patients or taking their names, mainly for petty commercials gains or strategic commercial advantages. They could be doctors, hospitals, diagnostic centers, pharmaceutical industry, activists, politicians or any other stakeholders. It is unfortunate that they all, sometime or the other, want to use the patients to achieve their respective commercial or political goals or to achieve competitive gains of various types or just for vested interests..

‘The Patient centric approach’ has now become the buzz word for all – do we ‘walk the talk’?

There does not seem to be much inclusiveness in the entire scheme of things in the private healthcare system, excepting some odd but fascinating examples like Dr. Devi Shetty, Sankara Nethralaya etc. As a result, excepting the creamy layers, patients from all other strata of society are finding it difficult to bear the treatment cost of expensive private healthcare facilities.

I personally know a working lady with a name Kajol (name changed) whose husband is suffering from blood cancer. One will feel very sad to watch how is she fast losing all her life’s savings for the treatment of her husband, pushing herself, having no alternative means, towards an extremely difficult situation day by day. There are millions of such Kajols in our society, who are denied of effective public healthcare alternatives to save lives of their loved ones.

If all stakeholders are so “patient centric” in attaining their respective objectives, why will over 650 million people of India not have access to modern medicines, even today? Is it ALL for poor healthcare infrastructure and healthcare delivery system in the country? If so, why do we have millions of Kajol’s in our country?

Consumer awareness and pressure on healthcare services and medicines in India will increase – a change for the better:

With the winds of economic change, rising general income levels especially of the middle income population, faster awareness and penetration of health insurance among the common citizens, over a period of time Indian consumers in general and the patients, in particular, like in the developed countries of the world, will start taking more and more informed decisions by themselves about their healthcare needs and related expenditure through their healthcare providers.

As the private healthcare providers will emerge in India, much more in number, like the developed world, they will concentrate not only on their financial and operational efficiencies exerting immense pressure on other stakeholders to squeeze out the best deal at the minimal cost, but also to remain competitive will start charting many uncharted frontiers and explore ways of enhancing the ‘feel good factors’ of the patients through various innovative ways… God willing.

Conclusion:

All stakeholders of the healthcare industry need to think of inclusive growth, not just the commercial growth, which could further widen the socio-economic divide in the country, creating numbers of serious social issues. As we know, this divide has already started widening at a brisk pace, especially in the healthcare sector of the country

It is hightime for the civil society, as well, to ponder and actively participate to make sure that the inclusive growth of the healthcare sector in India takes place, where like primary education, primary healthcare should be the ‘fundamental right’ for ALL citizens of the country.

By Tapan Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.