FDI in ‘Brownfield’ Pharma acquisitions and the growth of ‘Greenfield’ projects in India

Just when global multinational companies are inking deals to get more and more drugs manufactured in India, because of various financial and other considerations, giving a fillip to the domestic manufacturing capacity, recent media reports are carrying news items expressing apprehensions on possible declining trend of pharmaceutical manufacturing activities in the country due to ‘brownfield’ acquisitions of the domestic pharmaceutical companies by large multinationals.

Almost around this time, the Bureau of Labor Statistics data (USA) of May 2010 reported that the number of employees engaged in “pharmaceutical and medicine manufacturing” in the US went down by 5% from what it was about two years ago with around 35000 layoffs in the first half of 2010.

According to ‘New York Times’, there has been around 15,000 manufacturing job loss in Europe around this period.

Where the global manufacturing capacity has started shifting then?

As compared to above, the Department of Pharmaceuticals of the Government of India, as reported by Fierce Pharma, have indicated that pharmaceutical manufacturing industry of the country employed 340,000 people during April 2008 to March 2009 period with a sizable increase in number compared to the previous period. Overall, the industry provides employment to over 4.2 million persons directly or indirectly in India (Source: IDMA). This is happening despite a series of large to medium brownfield acquisitions in the country.

Moreover, a study by the Organization of Pharmaceutical Producers of India and Ernst & Young, based on 50 survey respondents from 30 pharmaceutical companies in the US, Europe and Asia, projects growth of formulations manufacturing and intermediate drugs in India at a rate of 43%, which is three times more than the projected global rate.

Growth in manufacturing through global collaborations:

With a large number of the world class manufacturing facilities conforming to cGMP requirements of various regulatory authorities across the globe, India is fast emerging as a global hub for pharmaceutical manufacturing services.

Emerging pharmaceutical manufacturing environment in the country, no doubt, is attracting a large number of global pharma majors to ink contract manufacturing deals, as mentioned above, with their Indian counterparts. Such collaborative arrangements with global partners are giving a further thrust to the pharmaceutical manufacturing activities of the country. To cater to the growing demand in manufacturing, some domestic companies are setting up ‘greenfield’ projects, while others are getting engaged in major expansion of their existing manufacturing facilities.

As per Frost & Sullivan, contract manufacturing market in India registered a turnover of around US$ 2.3 billion with a CAGR of 33% on 2010. RNCOS, an Industry Research solution company estimates that this sector will grow at a CAGR of over 45% during 2011-2013, in India.

Large global pharma companies like, Eli Lilly, AstraZeneca, Abbott, Merck, GSK and Pfizer have already inked collaborative arrangements with Indian Pharmaceutical companies related to manufacturing.

Eisai Co. Ltd of Japan inaugurated its second largest active pharmaceutical ingredient (API) production facility (after their Kashima plant in Japan) at Visakhapatnam on December 2009. The company is also to start a Research & Development (R&D) center for formulation development around the same place starting with four to five projects.

In the recent past the following predominantly manufacturing collaborative agreements have been signed by the MNCs in India:

Collaborative Deals

Year

Multinational Companies Indian Companies

2009

GSK Dr. Reddy’s Lab
Pfizer Aurobindo Pharma

2010

AstraZeneca Torrent
Abbott Cadila Healthcare
Pfizer Strides Arcolab
AstraZeneca Aurobindo Pharma
Pfizer Biocon

2011

Bayer Cadila Healthcare
MSD Sun Pharma

 

This is happening mainly because of inherent cost arbitrage, other factors being the same:

Comparison of Cost Advantage in India (%)

Costs in the Western Countries 100.0
Production Costs 50.0
R&D Costs 12.5
Clinical Trials Costs 10.0
Source: Pharmexcil Research

ANDAs and DMFs are manufacturing growth boosters:

Large portfolios of ANDAs and DMFs of domestic pharmaceutical players will also spur manufacturing in India:

ANDA approval by country:

Final ANDA Approvals by Country  (2007) (figs. in Nos.)

Country

Numbers

USA 169
India 132
Israel 40
Germany 25
Canada 24
Switzerland 19
Iceland 14
Jordan 11
Other 25
Source: Thomson Scientific

 

DMF approval by country:

Comparison of Drug Master Filings (Type II) by India, China & World (1998-2007) (Figs. in Nos.)

Year

India

China

World Total

1998

32 27 316

1999

26 6 199

2000

33 9 201

2001

47 6 238

2002

55 20 264

2003

115 19 360

2004

160 25 435

2005

233 70 615

2006

267 78 627

2007

274 90 656
Source: Thomson Scientific,

Patent challenge to boost manufacturing for exports:

To further boost manufacturing, especially for exports, Indian pharmaceutical players have also started challenging global patents. In fact in patent challenge, India ranks just next to USA with a share of 21% of the total:

Country-wise Number of Patent Challenges (As on March 2008)

Country

Numbers

USA 200
India 113
Israel 89
Canada 43
Switzerland 34
Iceland 17
Germany 10
Other 32
Source: Thomson Scientific,

Boosting up domestic manufacturing with overseas acquisitions and collaborations:

At the same time, domestic Indian companies are also on a spree of overseas acquisition and collaborative deals. The following details from the Ministry of Commerce are a testimony to this fact:

Selected International Acquisitions and Foreign tie-ins by the Indian Pharmaceutical Industry

Company

International Acquisition (s)

Foreign Alliances, JVS, and other tie-ins

Nicholas Piramal Pfizer-Morpeth (UK), Avecia Pharmaceutical (UK), Dobutrex brand acquisition (US), Rhodia’s inhalation business (UK), Biosyntech (NPIL Pharmaceutical) (Canada), Torcan Chemical (Canada), 51 percent of Boots (S. Africa), Biosyntech Ethypharm (France), Genzyme (US), Eli Lilly (US), Biogen Idec (US), Chiese Farmaceutici (Italy), Minrad (US), Pierre Fabre (France), Gilead Sciences (US), Allergan (US), Hoffmann-La Roche (Switzerland)
Ranbaxy Terapia (Romania), Allen-GSK (Spain & Italy), Ethimed (Belgium), Betapharm (Germany), RPG Aventis (France), 40 percent stake in Nihom Pharmaceuticals (Japan), Brand-Veratide (Germany), Efarmes (Spain), Be-Tabs (S. Africa), Akrikhin (Russia), Basic (Germany), Ohm Labs (US) GlaxoSmithKline (UK), Janssen-Ortho (Canada), IPCA Labs (US), Zenotech (India), Sonkel (S. Africa), Cephalon (US), Gilead Sciences (US), Schwartz (Germany)
Dr. Reddy’s Betapharm Group (Germany), Trigenesis (US), BMS Laboratories and Meridian Healthcare (UK), Roche’s active ingredients business (Mexico), BMS Labs (UK) Novo Nordisk, Bayer AG (Germany), Par (US), Novartis (Switzerland), Merck (Germany), Clin Tech, Pharmascience (Canada), ICICI (India), Merck (Germany), Schwartz
Marksans Nova Pharmaceuticals (Australia) NA
Aurobindo Milpharm (UK), Pharmacin (Netherlands) Gilead Science (US), Citadel (India)
Sun Pharmaceutical Able Lab (US), Caraco (US), Valeant Pharmaceuticals (US & Hungary), ICN (Hungary), Caraco (US), MJ Pharmaceutical Dyax
Dishman Amcis (Switzerland), Solutia’s Pharma (Switzerland) Azzurro (Japan)
Orchid Bexel Pharma (US) Stada, Alpharma, Par, Apotex
Biocon Nobex (US) Centre of Molecular Immunology (Cuba)
Wockhardt Wallis Labs (UK), CP Pharmaceutical (UK), Esparma (Germany), Pinewood Laboratories (Ireland), Dumex (India) Pharmaceutical dynamics (S. Africa)
Cadila Alpharma (France-formulations), Dabur Pharma Redrock (UK) Schering (Germany), Boehringer Ingelheim (Germany), Vitaris (Germany), Novopharm (Canada), MCPC (Saudi Arabia), Cilpharm (Ivory Coast), Geneva (US), GSK (UK), Ranbaxy (India), Mallinckrodt (US), Mayne (Australia), Shinjuki (Japan), Zydus Atlanta
Jubliant Organosys Target Research Association (US), PSI (Belgium), Trinity Laboratories (US) NA
Matrix Labs 22 percent controlling stake in Docpharma (Belgium), Explora Lab (Switzerland), MCHEM (China), Fine Chemicals (S. Africa), API (Belgium) Aspen, Emchem, Docpharma, Explora Labs
Glenmark Kinger Lab (Brazil), Uno-Ciclo (Brazil), Srvycal (Argentina), Medicamenta (Czech), Bouwer Bartlett Forest Labs (US), Lehigh Valley Technologies (US), Shasun (India), KV, Apotex (US)
Source: Source: Ministry of commerce, Government of India .(IBEF, Ernst & Young, The Economic Times, Individual company web pages)

Conclusion:

M&A is a natural business processes in any country with appropriate safeguards for any possible adverse effect on competition.  India has already put similar safeguards in place with the scrutiny of the Competition Commission before acquisition and continuous price monitoring by the National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA) after the acquisition is over.

It is worth mentioning, just on September 16, 2011, the Competition Commission of India, after stringent scrutiny on the impact of competition, cleared the proposal of Danone Asia Pacific to acquire the nutrition business of Wockhardt Ltd.

In the wake of all these, the apprehension that the ‘brownfield’ pharmaceutical acquisitions will retard the growth of ’greenfield’ pharmaceutical projects or have adverse impact on competition in the country, does not seem to hold much water. To a great extent FDI in ‘brownfield’ pharmaceutical acquisitions and the growth of ‘greenfield’ pharmaceutical projects in India, are unrelated.

Be that as it may, India should perhaps not expect that the country will continue to remain one of the pharmaceutical manufacturing hotspots for any indefinite period mainly because of cost arbitrage, which, in any case is not sustainable over a long period of time by any country.

As we have seen above, with the emergence of Asia, USA and EU are gradually but surely losing their pharmaceuticals manufacturing hubs’ status to China (API) and India (formulations). Who knows, some time in future, with the awakening of sleeping Africa, Asia will also not have the same fate?

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Sanofi’s acquisition of Universal Medicare could redefine nutraceuticals business in India

The Economic Times in its August 24, 2011 edition reported that Sanofi-Aventis has acquired the nutraceuticals business of Universal Medicare to scale up their business operations in the ‘wellness’ space of the healthcare sector in India.

What are ‘Nutraceuticals’?

Dr. Stephen DeFelice of the ‘Foundation for Innovation in Medicine’ coined the term ‘Nutraceutical’ from “Nutrition” and “Pharmaceutical” in 1989. The term nutraceutical is being commonly used in marketing such drugs/substances but has no regulatory definition.

It is often claimed that nutraceuticals are not just dietary supplements, but also help prevention and/or treatment of disease conditions.

Besides diseases, nutrition related risk factors contributing to more than 40% of deaths in the developing countries like India, nutraceutical products do show a promise as an emerging business opportunity within the healthcare space of the country.

The market:

The global nutraceuticals market is currently estimated to be around US$ 117 billion and expected to reach US$ 177 billion by 2013 with a CAGR of 7%, driven mainly by functional foods segment with a CAGR of 11%. The top countries in this category are Japan, USA and Europe with the former two together enjoying around 58% market share of the total nutraceuticals consumption of the world. In 2008 Indian nutraceuticals market was around US$ 1.0 billion, 54% of which being functional foods.

The prices of most nutraceuticals products, being outside government price regulations in India, are usually high.

Although current market share of India in the global nutraceuticals market is less than even 1%, a report from PwC predicts that India will join the league of top 10 by 2020. Increasing discretionary spending, changing lifestyles and growing awareness among Indians about healthy living, coupled with current overall low market penetration of high priced nutraceuticals products in India, could create a powerful trigger for the market growth.

Sanofi could sniff the opportunity in India:

Sniffing the market opportunity in this segment, especially in India, the Sanofi group’s Aventis Pharma, as mentioned above, has acquired the nutraceuticals business of Universal Medicare Private Ltd of worth Rs.110 Crore, in August, 2011. The nutraceuticals product portfolio of Universal Medicare consists of more than 40 brands, which include cod liver oil capsules, vitamins/ mineral supplements, antioxidants and liver tonics to name a few.

It will be interesting to watch whether Sanofi takes these nutraceutical products to other markets of the world, especially in Japan, Europe and the US.

Currently most global pharma companies are engaged in evidence based therapeutic substances:

So far, the large global pharmaceutical players have been focusing mainly, if not only on Evidence Based Medicines (EVM). Companies like, GlaxoSmithKline (GSK), were reported to have discontinued marketing those products, which do not fall under ‘Evidence Based Medicines (EVM), even in India.

Evidence-Based Medicine (EBM):

The term and concept of EBM originated at McMaster University of Canada in early 1990 and has been defined as “the integration of best research evidence with clinical expertise and patient values” (Sackett, 2000).

EBM is thus a multifaceted process of systematically reviewing, appraising and using clinical research findings to aid the delivery of optimum clinical care to patients/user. EBM also seeks to assess the strength of evidence of the risks and benefits of any particular treatment claim. This is mainly because increasingly the users are looking to authentic scientific evidence in clinical/wellness practice.

Thus many global pharmaceutical companies believe that EBM offers the most objective way to determine and maintain consistently high quality and safety standards of healthcare products in the healthcare practice.

The span of nutraceuticals ranges from prescription to OTC Products:

In India, nutraceuticals are being used/prescribed even by the medical profession, not only as nutritional supplements but also for the treatment of disease conditions, like arthritis, osteoporosis, cardiology, diabetes, pain management etc.

The challenge: Some experts believe, robust clinical data support is essential to substantiate ‘wellness’ claim with nutraceuticals:

Therapeutic efficacy in the treatment of a disease condition is established with pharmaceutical, pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamics studies of the substances concerned. Some experts believe that these studies are very important also for nutraceuticals, as they are involved in a series of various reactions within the body, especially while making any therapeutic claims, directly or indirectly.

Similarly, to establish any long term toxicity problem with such products, generation of credible data including those with animal reaction to the products, both short and long term, using test doses several times higher than the recommended ones, is critical.

These experts, therefore, quite often say, “A lack of reported toxicity problems with any nutraceutical should not be interpreted as evidence of safety.”

The status in the USA:

In the USA, Congress passed the ‘Dietary Supplement Health and Education Act’ in 1994. This act allows ‘functional claims’ to Dietary supplements without drug approval, like “Vitamin A promotes good vision” or “St. Johns Wort maintains emotional well-being”, as long as the product label contains a specific disclaimer that the said claim has not been evaluated by the FDA and that the product concerned is not intended to diagnose, treat, cure or prevent disease.

The above Act bestows some important responsibility to the doctors in particular, who are required to provide specific and accurate scientific information for nutraceutical products to their patients. This process assumes critical importance as the patients would expect the doctors to describe to them about the usefulness of nutraceutical products as alternatives to approved drugs. In such cases, if any doctor recommends a dietary supplement instead of pharmaceutical products, the doctor concerned must be aware of the risk that the patient’s health may suffer, for which the affected patient could sue the doctor for malpractice.

The Point to ponder: What happens if nutraceuticals are regulated as pharmaceuticals?

It is worth mentioning, if generation of clinical data, though albeit less than the pharmaceuticals, ever becomes mandatory regulatory requirements for getting marketing approval of nutraceutical products in India, commensurate increase in price for such products could indeed push their commercial survival in jeopardy.

Conclusion:

Nutraceuticals bearing a tag of promise, in a conducive regulatory environment, to provide desirable therapeutic benefits with less or no side effects as compared to conventional medicines, is growing well with reasonably good financial success, across the world. India is no exception.

In India, many nutraceuticals products, which are currently in the market, do not seem to have been adequately tested to generate robust clinical data, leave aside being peer reviewed and published in the reputed international journals for either safety or efficacy. Entry of global majors, like Sanofi, with a sharp focus on EBM, brings in a hope and promise to get these loose knots, in this very important area, tightened very significantly, while driving their business growth in the country.

Under this backdrop, it is widely expected that Sanofi, with its well proven global marketing and technical leadership, would change the ball game of nutraceutical products business in the healthcare space of India.

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

State funded ‘Universal Healthcare’ in India: A laudable initiative of the Government

January 11, 2011 edition of ‘The Lancet’, in the article authored by Prof. K. Srinath Reddy et al titled, “Towards achievement of universal health care in India by 2020: a call to action”, proposed creation of an Integrated National Health System in India through provision of universal health insurance, establishment of autonomous organizations to enable accountable and evidence-based good-quality health-care practices and at the same time reduce the high out-of-pocket expenditure on health care through a well regulated integration of the private sector within the national health-care system of India, by 2020.

About six months later, in its August 16, 2011 issue ‘The Times of India’ reported that the Planning Commission of India is currently framing up the blue print for a universal health insurance scheme which would provide a minimum cover to everyone in the country. It is expected that a surcharge will be levied for this Universal Health Care (UHC) initiative.

Though UHC is indeed a very commendably initiative for India as a nation,  some dubious and self-styled ‘healthcare crusaders’ have already started raising the bogey of ‘the inadequacy’ of the scheme as a diversionary measure to misguide the easily vulnerable common man of the country.

Efforts being made to sensationalize the current status of the Indian healthcare system:

Even in the backdrop of UHC initiative, the following sensational headlines could be fallacious at times, which more often than not are being misused by the vested interests:

  • “About 1.8 million children under age of 5 die in India every year; 68,000 mothers die due to maternal causes, and 52 million children in the country are stunted”.
  • “With 70% people living in more than 600,000 villages across rural India, not more than an estimated 30% have access to modern medicine”.

It is unfortunate that many key stakeholders, interested in improved healthcare system, are continuously engaged in an eternal blame game of ‘it is not my monkey’. At the same time, taking advantage of this confused situation, some other groups plan to facilitate their vested interests by projecting a ‘weaker India’ with contentious planted reports both overtly and covertly.

In this prevailing scenario, which has been continuing since the last several decades, there is no dearth of people who would attempt to hijack the health interest of the nation to harvest mega commercial benefits.

While all concerned should keep a vigil on such sinister design, let me now try to place some hard facts before you on the current healthcare scenario in India in the context of UHC.

The facts on access to ‘round the year’ healthcare facilities in India:

As reported by the Government of India in 2004, access to healthcare infrastructure and services for the rural villages in terms of percentages were as follows (Source: India Health Report 2010) :

  1. Primary Health Centers:  68.3
  2. Sub-Centers:   43.2
  3. Government Dispensaries:  67.9
  4. Government hospitals in urban areas:  79
  5. Private Clinics:  62.7
  6. Private Hospitals:  76.7

I reckon, after implementation of National Rural Health Mission (NRHM) and National Urban Health Mission (NRUM), this situation prevailing in 2004 has improved. However, the scope for further improvement in all these areas still remains very high. UHC could be a key facilitator.

In any case, the shrill voice highlighting around 65% of population of India does not have access to healthcare or medicines seem to be highly misplaced.

‘Access to Modern Medicines’ is improving in India, slowly but surely:

Contrary to the above propaganda, in the real life situation the access to modern medicines by the common man in the country even in the rural India is steadily increasing.

This is evidenced by the facts, CAGR (volume) of the pharmaceutical industry since the last ten years has been around 13%, leaving aside another robust growth factor being contributed through the introduction of newer brands, every year. Encouraging growth of the Indian Pharmaceutical Market (IPM), since the last decade, both from the urban and the rural areas, certainly signals towards significant increase in the domestic consumption of medicines in India.

IPM maintained a scorching pace of 16.5% growth in 2010. A recent forecast of IMS highlights near similar growth trend in 2011, as well.

In addition, extension of focus of the Indian pharmaceutical Industry, in general, to the fast growing rural markets, which are currently growing at a much faster pace than ever before, clearly supports the argument of increasing ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ even in rural India. The improvement in access may not exactly be commensurate to the volume growth of the industry during this period, but a major part of the industry growth could certainly be attributed towards increase in access to modern medicines in India.

For arguments sake, out of this rapid growth of the IPM, year after year consistently, if I attribute just 5% growth per year, for even the last nine years over the base year of 1998 (as reported in 2004 by WHO) to improved access to medicines, it will indicate, at least, 57% of the population of India currently has access to modern medicines and NOT just 35%, as I wrote in my blog earlier, quoting the numbers from the above WHO report of 2004.

Unfortunately, even the Government of India does not seem to be aware of this gradually improving trend. Official communications of the government still quote the outdated statistics, which states that 65% of the population of India does not have ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ even today. No wonder, why many of us still prefer to live on to our past.

Be that as it may, around 43% of the population will perhaps still not have ‘Access to Modern Medicines’ in India. This issue needs immediate attention of the policy makers and can be resolved with a holistic approach. UHC initiative together with improvement of healthcare infrastructure and delivery systems are the needs of the hour.

So called ‘Diseases of the Poor’ are no longer the ‘Leading Causes of Death’ in India:

As stated above, the disproportionate diversionary focus on the diseases of the poor by the vested interests, being the leading causes of death in India, should be re-validated with the data available with the office of the Registrar General of India (2009). This report highlights a totally different scenario, where the top five leading causes of death in terms of percentage, have been reported as follows:

  1. Cardiovascular diseases:  24.8
  2. Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD): 10.2
  3. Tuberculosis: 10.1
  4. Cancer: 9.4
  5. Ill-defined conditions: 5.3

Thus the diseases of the developed world, like cardiovascular diseases, COPD and Cancer cause over 45% of the total deaths in India, whereas Tuberculosis, Malaria, Diarrhea and digestive diseases cause around 23% deaths in the country. I reckon, UHC will take care of this emerging disease pattern in India.

The key reasons for not seeking medical treatment are not always poor ‘Access to Healthcare’:

While promoting the UHC, the government should take note of the key reasons for not seeking medical treatment, across socioeconomic milieu in the country. These reasons are not predominantly due to ‘Poor Access to Healthcare ‘. The following data will vindicate this point:

Reason

Rural Poorest 20%

Rural Richest 20%

Urban Poorest 20%

Urban Richest 20%

Financial Reasons

39.7

21.2

37.2

2.3

Ailments not considered serious

27.2

45.6

44.3

84.4

No Medical facilities

12.8

10.0

1.6

_

Others

20.3

23.2

16.9

13.3

Total

100

100

100

100

(Source: India Health Report 2010)

All these are happening probably because we do not have, as yet, any ‘well-structured healthcare financing system’ for all section of the society. The UHC initiative could well be a very significant part to the solution of this long standing problem together with other specific important measures, some of which I have already deliberated above.

While addressing the healthcare financing issue of India, January 11, 2011 edition of ‘The Lancet’ in its article titled, “Financing health care for all: challenges and opportunities” commented:

“India’s health financing system is a cause of and an exacerbating factor in the challenges of health inequity, inadequate availability and reach, unequal access, and poor-quality and costly health-care services. The Government of India has made a commitment to increase public spending on health from less than 1% to 3% of the gross domestic product during the next few years…. Enhanced public spending can be used to introduce universal medical insurance that can help to substantially reduce the burden of private out-of-pocket expenditures on health.”

I reiterate in this context, UHC initiative brings a breadth of fresh air to the prevailing rather gloomy healthcare financing scenario in India.

A comparison of private (out of pocket) health expenditure:

Look at it from, any angle, the general population of India is most burdened with high’ out of pocket healthcare expenses’ compared to even all of our neighboring countries:

1. Pakistan: 82.5% 2. India: 78% 3. China: 61% 4. Sri Lanka: 53% 5. Thailand: 31% 6. Bhutan: 29% 7. Maldives: 14%

(Source: The Lancet)

This factor itself, in case of just one or couple of serious illnesses, could make a middle class household of India poor and a poor could be pushed even Below the Poverty Line (BPL). UHC initiative of the Government is expected to change this scenario significantly in the years ahead.

The key unresolved issue of ‘affordability’ will get partially unresolved with UHC:

The above edition of ‘The Lancet’ highlighted that outpatient (non-hospitalization) expenses in India is around 74% of the total health expenses and the drugs account for 72% of this total outpatient expenditure. The study has also pointed out that 47% and 31% hospitalization in rural and urban areas respectively, are financed by loans and sell off assets.

This critical issue of ‘affordability’ of modern medicines is expected to get, at least partially resolved with the UHC scheme of the Government.

Around 32% of Indian BPL population can’t afford to spend on medicines:

While framing the UHC scheme, the government should keep in mind that a population of around 32% in India, still lives below the poverty line (BPL) and will not be able to afford any expenditure, however minor it may be, towards medicines. Proper implementation of the RSBY scheme with military precision, will be the right approach to this marginalized section of the society.

National Health Entitlement Card:

According to the Planning Commission, to enable the citizens availing the facilities provided by the ‘Universal Healthcare,’ the government will issue a ‘National Health Entitlement Card’, which will guarantee free access to  relevant healthcare packages designed for the primary, secondary and tertiary healthcare for all. This scheme will be fully funded by the Central Government and cover both inpatient and outpatient services.

Conclusion:

Thus in the current scenario, the initiative of ‘Universal healthcare’ to provide access to healthcare to all citizens of India by addressing the critical issue of high incidence of ‘out of pocket’ expenses towards health care, is indeed a laudable initiative and ushers in a breadth of fresh air, despite all motivated comments against it.

We need also to keep in mind, although the ‘Universal healthcare’ is a fascinating mega initiative by the Planning Commission of India, this may not resolve all health related maladies of the country in one stroke.

Even in the changed scenario, a large section of the population both rich and poor and from both urban as well as rural India, may continue to not seek medical treatment assuming initially many of their ailments are not serious enough. Such a situation will definitely not materially improve the healthcare scenario of India, quite adversely affecting the economic progress of the country.

Such a situation, if continues, will necessitate continuous disease awareness campaigns with active participation of all stakeholders, including the civil society across the country, sooner than later, in tandem with all other measures as may deem necessary from time to time.

Disclaimer:The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Pharmaceutical R&D in India: Issues and Challenges

Research and Development (R&D) initiatives, though very important for most of the industries, is the life blood for the pharmaceutical sector, across the globe, to meet the unmet needs of the patients. Thus, very rightly, the Pharmaceutical Industry is considered as the ‘lifeline’ for any nation, in the battle against diseases of all types.

Drugs and Pharmaceuticals not only cure diseases and improve the quality of life of patients, but also help reducing the ‘burden of disease’ significantly. A study on five illnesses like AIDS, Cardiovascular, Cancer, Alzheimer’s and Rheumatoid-arthritis showed that drug research will save more than US$ 750 Billion in the treatment costs alone [1].

Similarly, treatment with drugs for schizophrenia can save more than US$ 70,000 per patient per year, due to avoidable hospitalization [2]. All these highlight the critical role that R&D could play in the healthcare system of any country.

R&D is not a threat to cheaper generic medicines:

More number of incoming patented medicines from the R&D labs will ensure faster growth of the generic pharmaceutical industry too, after the former will go off-patent. Even in the USA, which offers the highest number of innovative medicines across the globe, has a vibrant high growth generic pharmaceutical industry in place. The market penetration of cheaper generic drugs in the US is amongst the highest in the world and stands at more than half of all prescription medicines.

R&D process:

Over the years, pharmaceutical R&D process, though has evolved into a highly sophisticated and complex science, it still calls for enormous resources in terms of money, materials and skilled manpower, besides years of precious time.

Over a period of so many years, the small-molecule blockbuster drugs business model made pharmaceuticals a high-margin industry. However, it now appears that the low hanging fruits to make blockbuster drugs have mostly been plucked.

These low hanging fruits involved therapy areas like, anti-ulcerants, anti-lipids, anti-diabetics, cardiovascular, anti-psychotic etc. and their many variants, which were relatively easy R&D targets to manage chronic ailments. Hereafter, the chances of successfully developing drugs for cure of these chronic ailments, with value addition, would indeed be a very tough call. Even in this environment, India’s investment in R&D still remains very modest by the international standard.

Global R&D investment and Asia-Pacific Region:

It has been reported that in the global pharmaceutical industry[3] 85 % of the medicines are produced by North America, Europe, Japan and Latin America and the developed nations hold 97% of the total patents worldwide.

Unlike the common perception, that China is attracting a significant part of the global investments towards R&D, latest data of MedTRACK revealed that only 15% of all drugs development is taking place in Asia-Pacific, despite the largest growth potential of the region in the world.

The key growth driver of any economy:

Innovation being one of the key growth drivers for the knowledge economy, creation of innovation friendly ecosystem in the country calls for a radical change in the mind set – from ‘process innovation’ to ‘product innovation’, from ‘replicating a molecule’ to ‘creating a molecule’.  A robust ecosystem for innovation is the wheel of progress of any nation.

It is encouraging to hear that the Government of India is working towards this direction in a more elaborate manner in its 12th Five Year Plan.

Indigenous capability for production of the country must give way to indigenous capability for innovation and discovery.  Laws and policies need to facilitate, reward, recognise, protect and encourage all those who are or could be a part of this critical process.

Striking a right balance between the cost of research and affordability of medicines:

While the common man expects newer and better medicines at affordable prices, the Pharmaceutical Industry has to battle with burgeoning R&D costs, high risks and increasingly long period of time to take a drug from the ‘mind to market’, mainly due to stringent regulatory requirements. It will indeed be a very proud moment for India, when a drug, especially, for treating Non-infectious Chronic Diseases (NCD) comes out of its home-grown R&D centers.

R&D is an arduous process:

The dynamics of Drug Discovery are shown below:

  • Despite patent life being 20 years, effective period of exclusivity for the discoverer is only 7.5 – 8.5 years.
Stages of Development No. of Years
Pre-clinical 3.5
Clinical 6.5
Regulatory 2.5 – 1.5
Total: 12.5 – 11.5
  •  Another report, as depicted in the chart below indicates the investment pattern in R&D by various countries in the developed markets of the world:

Where does the money go? (%)

US 36
Japan 19
Germany 10
France 9
UK 7
Switzerland 5
Sweden 3
Italy 3
Other 8

Where does the R&D investment go? (%)

Synthesis & Extraction 12
Screening & Testing 15
Toxicology & Safety 5
Dosage & Stability 9
Clinical Phase 1-3 26
Phase IV 6
Process Dev. & QA 10
IND & NDA 4
Bioavailability 2
Other 11

Looking at the long lead time before a new drug starts paying back and even if net profitability of 50% on sales are permitted, recovery of the entire R&D cost only from the Indian market would be virtually impossible.  Hence, if Indian R&D is to pay back, we need to have access to overseas markets.

Harmonization of regulatory standards is a must for containment of R&D costs.  Researchers in the country are currently following the ‘DRL’ or ‘Glenmark’ model of selling /out licensing the discovery for offshore development.

Strengths and weaknesses of India in Pharmaceutical R&D:

Following are the current strengths and weaknesses of the Pharmaceutical Industry of India from the R&D perspective:

Strengths:

  • Mature Industry with strong manufacturing base
  • Strengths in (innovative) process chemistry
  • Abundance of raw talent
  • Entrepreneurial spirit
  • Highly talented and skilled Indian scientists working abroad (great potential for networking)
  • Low cost of Manpower
  • Cost effective Manufacturing Facilities
  • Rich Biodiversity
  • Global Clinical Trials are now being contacted in India

Weaknesses:

  • Lack of funding and resources
  • Lack of a ready ‘talent pool’
  • Low profile of high quality work being carried out
  • Inadequate regulatory framework / infrastructure
  • Low investment in R & D
  • Missing Link between Research and Commercilisation

R&D Expenditure in India:

The following chart gives details of R&D spend of the major players of the Indian Pharmaceutical industry in 2009:

FY 2009                                  (USD=INR46)
Company Sales USD Mn. R&D USD Mn. As % of Sales
Ranbaxy Laboratories 1610 90.3 5.6
Dr. Reddy’s Laboratories 1572 83.6 5.3
Cipla 1152 51.2 4.4
Sun Pharmaceuticals 951 67.4 7.1
Lupin 847 48.4 5.7
Wockhardt 770 11.2 1.4
Piramal Healthcare 720 18.5 2.6
Cadila Healthcare 644 34.4 5.3
Aurobindo Pharma 557 24.5 4.4
Matrix Laboratories 500 46.6 9.3
Total 9324 476 5.1

(Source: Prowess: Business World, February 8, 2010)

Research Options for India:

Following are various research options available to India:

  • Basic Discovery Research:

Basic Discovery Research is capital intensive, costly and takes a long time for the return on investments.  This could be made possible only if significant (NIH-type) funding is available.

  • Genetic & Proteomic Research:

Genetic and Proteomic Research involves many of these following procedures:

- Decoding Human Genetic Code

- Identification of Genetic Markers

- Personalized cards or chips that will contain each person’s genetic structure

- Genetic Manipulation to alter a person’s susceptibility to a particular disease

- Elimination of therapies that will not work on certain genotypes

This is probably the most exciting field of Research today, where the Industry will be able to “leap-frog” given the right priority.  The International Center of Genetic Engineering and Biotechnology (ICGEB) is already a recognized center of excellence both within and outside the country.  Hence international grants and funding must be aggressively pursued.

Biotechnology & Biosimilar drugs could be yet another opportunity area for India to leapfrog.  Biotech derived products are among the fastest growing in the world. These products being more expensive, if discovered and developed locally, could be affordable to many and also highly profitable.  Immunological and DNA Vaccines could be the most cost-effective answer to healthcare problems in developing countries, including India and should, therefore, be given top priority.  Here again, collaborative and international grants will be a critical success factor, just as the success of Biotech Companies in the US was fuelled by private venture capital.

  • Process Research:

While focusing on Product Research, the Process Research should not be ignored, as India possesses considerable skill base for this type of research, even better than China.  Cost effective, more and more economical processes will always be necessary to make products more and more affordable to patients.

  • Natural Product Screening:

India’s rich bio-diversity should not go waste.  The amount of work being done today is negligible as compared to the availability of “raw material” from the natural source.  Indian bio-diversity should be captured and cataloged into a meaningful library to facilitate R&D in this area.

  • The ‘Open Innovation’ Model:

As the name suggest, ‘Open Innovation’ or the ‘Open Source Drug Discovery (OSDD)’ is an open source code model of discovering a New Chemical Entity (NCE) or a New Molecular Entity (NME). In this model all data generated related to the discovery research will be available in the open for collaborative inputs. In ‘Open Innovation’, the key component is the supportive pathway of its information network, which is driven by three key parameters of open development, open access and open source.

Council of Scientific and Industrial Research (CSIR) of India has adopted OSDD to discover more effective anti-tubercular medicines.

Other Areas:

  • Epidemiological Research: The Industry needs good reliable data on the burden of human diseases.  In the absence of this data, it will be difficult to allocate resources and predict outcomes of new therapies.
  • Clinical Research (including toxicological / animal testing):  This area needs to be made world class, sooner than the later, not only to bring down the cost of drug development, but also to ensure that the data thus produced are acceptable in other countries.  India has the potential to emerge as the most sought after global hub for pre-clinical and clinical drug development processes.

Success of Indian pharmaceutical companies in R&D:

Following are the details of success of some major domestic pharmaceutical players in their pharmaceutical R&D initiatives:

Company NCE Pipeline Key Therapeutic Area
Biocon Preclinical – 2Phase II – 2Phase III – 1 Inflammatory Diseases, Oncology, Diabetes
Piramala Healthcare 13 Compounds in Clinical Trials Oncology, Infectious Diseases, Diabetes, Inflammatory Diseases
Glenmark Discovery – 4Preclinical – 5Phase I – 1Phase II – 3 Metabolic Diseases, Infectious Diseases, Respiratory Diseases, Oncology
Suven Life Sciences Discovery – 2Preclinical – 4Phase I – 1 Neurodegenerative Diseases, Obesity, Diabetes, Inflammatory Diseases
Dr. Reddy’s Lab Preclinical – 1Phase II – 2Phase III – 1 Metabolic Disorders, Cardiac, Oncology
Advinus Preclinical – 3 Diabetes, Cardiac, Lipid Disorders
Worckhardt Preclinical – 10Phase II – 1 Infectious Diseases
Lupin Discovery – 2Preclinical – 1 Migraine, Psoriasis, T.B.

(Source: Financial Express, March 13, 2009)

Basic pre-requisites to encourage R&D in India:

  • Innovation friendly ecosystem
  • Adequate Funding
  • World class Infrastructure
  • Ready talent pool

The key elements of creating an ecosystem conducive to R&D:

  • Knowledge and learning need to be upgraded through the universities and specialist centres of learning within India.
  • Science and Technological achievement should be recognized and rewarded by the sanction of grants and the future funding should be linked to scientific achievement.
  • Indian scientists working abroad are now inclined to return to India or network with laboratories in India. This trend should be effectively leveraged.

Key role of Universities:

Most of our raw talent goes abroad to pursue higher studies.  International Schools of Science like Stanford or Rutgers should be encouraged to set up schools in India, just like Kellogg’s and Wharton who have set up Business Schools. It has been reported that the Government of India is actively looking into this matter.

R&D funding:

Access to world markets is the greatest opportunity in the entire process of globalisation and the funds available abroad are a valuable source of “funding” to boost R&D in India. Inadequacy of funding is the greatest concern.

The various ways of funding R&D could be considered as follows:

  1. Self-financing Research: This is based on (i) “CSIR Model” i.e. recover research costs through commercialization – collaboration with industries to fund research projects and (ii) “Dr Reddy’s Lab / Glenmark Model” i.e. recover research costs by selling lead compounds without taking through to development – wealth creation by the creation of Intellectual Capital.
  2. Overseas Funding:  By way of joint R&D ventures with overseas collaborators; seeking grants from overseas Health Foundations; earnings from Contract Research as also from Clinical Development and transfer of aborted leads (‘Killing Fields” of the West) and collaborative projects on Orphan Drugs.  Multinational companies could be encouraged to deploy resources, as this is where the real money is.
  3. Venture Capital & Equity Market :  This could be both via Private Venture Capital Funds and Special Government Institutions.  If regulations permit, foreign venture funds may also wish to participate. Venture Capital and Equity Financing will emerge as important sources of finance once track record is demonstrated and ‘early wins’ are recorded.
  4. Fiscal Support & Non-Fiscal Support: Will also be valuable in early stages of R&D, for which a variety of schemes are possible as follows:
  • Customs Duty Concessions: For Imports of specialised equipment, e.g. high throughput screening equipment, equipment for combinatorial chemistry, special analytical tools, specialised pilot plants, etc.
  • Income tax concessions (weighted tax deductibility): For both in-house and sponsored research programmes.
  • Soft loans: For financing approved R&D projects from Government financial institutions / banks.
  • Tax holidays: Deferral, loans on earnings from R&D.

Government funding: Government grants though available, tend to be small and typically targeted to government institutions or research bodies. There is very little government support for private sector R&D.

All these schemes need to be simple and hassle free and the eligibility criteria must be tight.

Infrastructure for R&D:

Scientific infrastructure needs of the country require to be urgently strengthened.  Many of our Research Institutions require immediate upgradation.  All research laboratories should be encouraged to be profit driven and plough back earning in modernization.

Quality of life (proximity to schooling, hospitals, recreation) and ambiance is important, particularly for scientists working abroad, who could be encouraged to return to India.

Setting up of world class Clinical Pharmacology Laboratories and Toxicology Centers must be considered.  All clinical trials carried out in India must conform to GCP standards.  At the same time, Indian registration procedures should be harmonized and simplified in order to minimize duplication of efforts and time loss.

Indian Patent infrastructure:

Indian patent infrastructure needs to be strengthened, among others, in the following areas:

  • Enhancing patent literacy both in Legal and Scientific Communities, who must be taught how to read, write and file a probe.
  • Making available appropriate Search Engines to our scientists to facilitate worldwide patent searches.
  • Creating world class Indian Patent Offices where the examination skills and resources will need considerable enhancement.
  • Advisory Services on Patents to Indian scientists to help in filing patents in other countries.

Partnering for Drug Discovery:

Many Indian pharma companies have entered into international collaborative arrangements, including R&D for development of new drugs for disease areas like cancer, diabetes, malaria and nervous system disorders.

DRL has partnered with ClinTec International for clinical trials and co-development of its anti-cancer drug. ClinTec International will possess the marketing rights for European markets while the commercialization for the rest of the world and US markets would be retained by DRL. It has also tied up with Torrent Pharma for the exclusive marketing rights of its two hypertension drugs in Russia, where Torrent has a strong market hold.

GSK and Ranbaxy set up an early-stage partnership in drug research, under which GSK will provide the Indian firm with leads, Ranbaxy will conduct lead optimization and animal trials, and GSK will take the drug through human trials. GSK will have exclusive rights to sell any resulting product in developed-world markets, and the two firms will co-promote it in India.

Conclusion:

- It is essential to have balanced policies offering equitable advantage to all stakeholders, including patients.

- Globalization brings opportunities like, access to markets, which are far more profitable than ours.  Any policy of isolation or retaliation in an increasingly more global environment, could go against the general interest of the country.

- Acceptance by the Government of the benefits of privatization, market liberalization and rationalization of Government controls, will add speed to R&D initiatives.

- The trade policy is another important ingredient of public policy which can either reinforce or retard R&D efforts.

- Empirical evidence across the globe has demonstrated that a well balanced patent regime in the country encourages the inflow of technology, stimulates research and development, benefits both the national and the global pharmaceutical sectors and most importantly benefits the healthcare system.

- The Government, academia, scientific fraternity and the Pharmaceutical Industry should get involved in various relevant Public Private Partnership (PPP) arrangements for R&D to ensure wider access to newer and better medicines in the country, providing much needed stimulus to the public health interest of the nation.

References:

  1. The Process of New Drug Discovery and Development, Second Edition, Charles G. Smith and James T. O’Donnell, 2006, p. 422, published by Informa Healthcare.
  2. Goddamn the Pusher Man, Reason, April 2001
  3. Abhinav Agrawal, Kamal Dua, Vaibhav Garg, U.V.S. Sara and Akash Taneja, 27- Challenges and Opportunities for The Indian Pharma Industry, Health Administrator vol. xx number 1&2 : 109-113
  4. “Food & Drug Administration, Generic Drugs: Questions and Answers”. Food and Drug Administration, January 12, 2010.

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Credible role of CCI and NPPA should allay fear of possible ill effects of FDI in Pharmaceuticals

On August 3, 2011, ‘The Hindu Business Line’ reported, “Domestic drug-makers worried by side-effects of MNC buyouts.” It opined, “Acquisitions in the pharma industry came in for sharp focus, after several domestic drug-makers sold their operations partially or entirely to overseas companies – raising concerns of, among other things, increase in medicine prices.”

However, on August 4, 2011 the same business daily retorted, “MNC drug-makers allay fears of rise in prices.” It asserted, “Multinational drug-makers have stressed that they are committed to achieving the country’s healthcare goals”.

March 18, 2011 issue of  ‘Export Import News’ wrote, “FDI in pharma sector comes down during current financial year as debate on ‘Take-Overs’ rages on”.

The Union Health Minister Mr. Ghulam Nabi Azad is reportedly arguing in favor of putting a cap on the FDI limit for pharmaceuticals in India. This is based on an apprehension that such FDI would have an overall adverse impact on the health care scenario of the country, especially, on pricing and availability of medicines to the common man.

It has also been reported that the Commerce Ministry is in favor of reviewing the situation after taking into consideration of the report to be submitted to them by an international consulting firm. This seems to have been prompted by the request of the Department of Pharmaceuticals (DoP) based on the recent takeovers of Indian companies by the Multi National Pharmaceutical Corporations. It appears that the recommendations of the Ministry of commerce, prepared in consultation with the DoP, will then be forwarded to the Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister for a final direction on the much hyped and talked about issue.

Views of the Planning Commission of India:

Meanwhile, most of the daily business papers of India reported that on July 12, 2011, the Deputy Chairman of the Planning Commission of India Mr. Montek Singh Ahluwalia commented, “I don’t think there is any move anywhere to prevent the expansion of existing 100% foreign owned pharmaceutical companies or to prevent green field investment by foreign companies.”

A reasonable comment:

This comment of Mr. Ahluwalia seems quite reasonable, considering the fact that full control of powers on Mergers and Acquisitions of the Competition Commission of India (CCI) effective June 1, 2011, has already been notified.

CCI to address all possible adverse impact on competition due to M&A:

The Competition Commission of India (CCI) will now carefully scrutinize the possibilities of the market being less competitive due to Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) of companies across the industry in the country. This concern becomes even greater, especially, in the horizontal mergers and acquisitions between the comparable competitors in the same products or geographic markets, as we have been witnessing also in the pharmaceutical sector of India, over a period of time.

However, the country is yet to notice any quantifiable ill effects of such horizontal or vertical M&A. Neither is there any major case pending with the CCI in this regard for the pharmaceutical sector.

Competition related scrutiny is nothing new in the developed markets:

Competition related scrutiny during M&A is nothing new in the developed markets of the world and is already being followed in the USA, the countries within the European Union (EU) and elsewhere.

Key concerns with M&A in pharmaceuticals:

Many believe that M&A even in the oligopolistic nature of pharmaceutical market in any country, if not abused will not do any harm to competition.  Possibly for this reason, it will be rather difficult to cite many examples, the world over, where companies have been stopped from merging by the regulators because of anti-competitive reasons.

Another school of thought, however, believes that large M&A could ultimately lead to oligopolistic nature of the pharmaceutical industry with adverse impact on competition. Thus M&A regulations are very important for this sector.

Moreover, we need to remember that competition no longer depends only on the number of players in any given field. To explain this point many people cite the example of two large global players in the field of brown liquid beverages, Coke and Pepsi, where despite being limited competition, consumers derive immense value added economic benefits due to cut throat competition between these two large players.

It goes without saying, CCI must ensure that in any M&A process, even within the pharmaceutical industry of India, such rivalry does not give way to an absolute monopoly, directly or indirectly.

M&A activity in India:

In India, the consolidation process within the Pharmaceutical Industry started gaining momentum way back in 2006 with the acquisition of Matrix Lab by Mylan. 2008 witnessed one of the biggest mergers in the Pharmaceutical Industry of India, when the third largest drug maker of Japan, Daiichi Sankyo acquired 63.9% stake of Ranbaxy Laboratories of India with US $4.6 billion.

Last year, in May 2010, Chicago based Abbott Laboratories acquired the branded generics business of Piramal Healthcare with US$3.72 billion. This was soon followed by the acquisition of Paras Pharma by Reckit Benkiser.

The ground realities:

In India, if we look at the ground reality, we find that the market competition is extremely fierce with each branded generic/generic drug (constituting over 99% of the Indian Pharmaceutical Market, IPM) having not less than 50 to 80 competitors within the same chemical compound. Moreover, 100% of the IPM is price regulated by the government, 20% under cost based price control and the balance 80% is under stringent price monitoring mechanism.

In an environment like this, the apprehension of threat to ‘public health interest’ due to irresponsible pricing will be rather imaginary. More so, when the medicine prices in India are the cheapest in the world, cheaper than even our next door neighbors like, Bangladesh, Pakistan and Sri Lanka.

CCI and NPPA will play a critical role:

One of the key concerns of the stakeholders in India is that M&A will allow the companies to come together to fix prices and resort to other anti competitive measures. However, in the pharmaceutical industry of the country this seems to be highly unlikely because of effective presence of the strong price regulator, National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA), as mentioned above.

Thus even after almost three years of acquisition, the product prices of Ranbaxy have remained stable, some in fact even declined. As per IMS MAT June data, prices of Ranbaxy products grew only by 0.6% in 2009 and actually fell by 1% in 2010. Similarly post acquisition of Piramal Healthcare by Abbott USA and Shantha Biotech by Sanofi of France, average product price increases of these two Indian subsidiaries were reported to be just around 2% and 0%, respectively.

However, even if there is any remote possibility of M&A having adverse effect on competition, it will now be taken care of effectively by the CCI, as it happens in many countries of the world,  Israel being a recent example involving an Indian company.

‘Competition Commission’ does intervene:

In the process of the acquisition of Taro Pharma of Israel by Sun Pharma of India in 2008, being concerned with the possibility of price increases due to less competitive environment in three generic carbamazepine formulations, the Competition Commission in Israel intervened, as happened in many other countries.  As a result, Sun Pharma was directed by the regulator to divest its rights to develop, manufacture and market of all these three formulations to Torrent Pharma or another Commission approved buyer.

There are many such examples, across the world, of Competition Commission playing a key role to negate any possible ill effect of M&A.

Will the new Competition Law delay the M&A process?

Some apprehensions have been expressed that the new competition law could delay the process of a Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) . However, it is worth noting, in case the CCI will require raising any objection after the voluntary notification has been served, they will have to do so within 90 working days, otherwise the M&A process will deem to be solemnized.

Conclusion:

I reckon, in the M&A process, the entire Pharmaceutical Industry in India would continue to act responsibly with demonstrable commitment to help achieving the healthcare objectives of the nation.

Global players will keep on searching for their suitable targets in the emerging markets like India, just as Indian players are searching for the same in the global markets. This is a process of consolidation in any industry and will continue to take place across the world.

Adverse impact of M&A on competition, if any, will now be effectively taken care of by the CCI. In addition, the apprehension for any unreasonable price increases post M&A will be addressed by the National Pharmaceutical Pricing Authority (NPPA).

Thus, there are enough checks and balances already being in place to avoid any possible adverse impact due to M&A activities in India.In this evolving scenario, it is indeed difficult to understand, why the FDI issue related to M&A in the Pharmaceutical space of India is still catching headlines of both in the national and international media.

Be that as it may, it goes without saying that as we move on, the role of CCI in all M&A activities within the Pharmaceutical Industry of India will be keenly watched by all concerned, mainly to ensure that the vibrant competitive environment is kept alive within this sector.

Disclaimer:The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Medical Tourism: A key growth driver in the healthcare space of India

Since the last several years medical tourism is fast evolving as one of the key growth drivers of the healthcare sector, especially, in the western world like, the United States of America (USA) and the United Kingdom.

Dr. Fred Hansen in his article titled, A revolution in healthcare medicine meets the marketplace (January 2008)” highlighted that the increasing number of high-quality healthcare facilities in developing coun­tries are catering to medical tourists from the developed countries. Among them there are many uninsured Ameri­cans. Medical services outside USA in the developing countries are much cheaper. On average it is around 80%. For example, a cardiac surgery, which will cost more than US$ 50,000 in the United States, can be availed for US$ 20,000 in Singapore, US$ 12,000 in Thailand and between US$ 3,000 and US$ 10,000 in India.  For this reason, Dr. Hansen predicted that the number of Americans traveling abroad for healthcare is expected to increase from around 1.3 million in 2008 to 6 million by 2010.

It has been reported that about 500,000 foreign patients traveled to India for medical care in 2005 from an estimated 150,000 patients in 2002 mainly from USA, UK and the Gulf countries for low-priced high quality healthcare in various disease areas. More and more people from these countries are finding the prospect of quality and value added medical care in countries like India financially attractive.

The Global Market:

In 2006 the global market for medical tourism was around US$ 60 billion. According to McKinsey & Company, this market could expand to US$100 billion by 2012.

An evolving sector in India:

Thus, medical tourism is fast establishing itself as an evolving area of business in the global healthcare space. In that space, India is fast emerging as one of the most preferred medical tourism destinations in the world.

This healthcare sector in India, despite being smaller compared to the western world, is surging ahead both at the national and the regional levels with enormous potential for future growth,  if explored appropriately with a carefully worked out strategic game plan from the very nascent stage of its evolution process.

Economic Times, in its January 6, 2009 edition reported, “Indian medical tourism to touch Rs 9,500 Crore (around US $ 2.1 billion) by 2015”.  Another report titled “Booming Medical Tourism in India”, published in December 2010 estimated that the medical tourism industry will generate revenues of around US$ 3 billion by 2013, although with a market share of just around 3%  the of global medical tourism industry.  Thus, in medical tourism, India still remains a smaller player with enormous growth potential.

The key reason and influencers:

The most common reason for medical tourism globally is lack of (adequate) health insurance. The most common emerging destinations of medical tourism in the world are Thailand, Singapore, Costa Rica, Panama, Brazil, Mexico, Malaysia and India.

Other factors influencing Medical Tourism particularly in India are as follows:

  1. Significant cost advantages.
  2. High quality treatment and hospital stay with the  world class medical technological support
  3. Rigid compliance with international treatment standards
  4. No language barrier with the western world
  5. Government taking active steps and interest in the medical tourism sector.

In all these five areas the significant advantages that India offers will need to be adequately encashed in a sustainable manner.

Significant cost advantage in India: The patients from other countries of the world who come to India for medical care not only get world class healthcare services, but also are offered to stay in high-end ‘luxury’ hospitals fully equipped with the latest television set, refrigerator and even in some cases a personal computer. All these are specially designed to cater to the needs of these groups of patients.

Moreover, according to John Lancaster of The Washington Post ( October 21, 2004) Indian private hospitals have a better mortality rate for heart surgery than American hospitals.

Cost Comparison: India vs UK:

Nature of Treatment

Treatment Approximate Cost in India ($) *

Cost in other Major Healthcare Destination ($) *

Approximate Waiting Periods in USA / UK    (in months)

Open heart Surgery

4,500

> 18,000

9 – 11

Cranio-facial Surgery and skull base

4,300

> 13,000

6 – 8

Neuro-surgery with Hypothermia

6,500

> 21,000

12 – 14

Complex spine surgery with implants

4,300

> 13,000

9 – 11

Simple Spine surgery

2,100

> 6,500

9 – 11

Simple Brain Tumor -Biopsy -Surgery

1,000 4,300

> 4,300 > 10,000

6 – 8

Parkinsons -Lesion -DBS

2,100 17,000

> 6,500 > 26,000

9 – 11

Hip Replacement

4,300

> 13,000

9 – 11

* These costs are an average and may not be the actual cost to be incurred.

(Source: Health Line)

Most popular treatment areas:

The most popular treatment areas are as follows:

  1. Alternative medicines
  2. IVF treatment
  3. Bone-marrow transplant
  4. Cardiac bypass
  5. Eye surgery
  6. Dental care
  7. Cosmetic surgery
  8. Other areas of advanced medicine

The key components:

The following four basic components constitute the medical tourism industry:

Healthcare providers: Hospitals, mainly corporate hospitals and doctors • Payers: Medical/ Health insurance companies • Pharmaceutical Companies: for high quality affordable medicines • IT companies : operating in the healthcare space Key drivers and barriers to growth: Following are the key growth drivers:

  1. Government support through policies and initiatives
  2. High quality, yet low cost care
  3. Much less or no waiting time
  4. World class private healthcare infrastructure
  5. Rich source of natural and traditional medicines. Ministry of Tourism is also promoting the traditional systems of medicines, like,  Ayurveda, Siddha, and Yoga to project India as a the destination of choice for even spiritual wellness and healing

In future, the world class and low cost private sector healthcare services are expected to drive the growth of the medical tourism in India. However, any shortages in the talent pool and inadequate other basic infrastructural support like, roads, airports and power could pose to be barriers to growth, if not addressed immediately.

The PPP model:

Currently the government has started adopting a Public Private Partnership (PPP) Model to provide world class healthcare services through medical tourism both at the national and the state levels. This PPP model has been designed in such a way that continuous improvement in healthcare infrastructure takes place through the private sector resources ably supported by the public sector in terms of policy, budgetary and fiscal support towards such initiatives.

US apprehension about growing Medical Tourism of India:

India Knowledge@Wharton in its June 2, 2011 issue reported as under:

  • In the past, US President Barack Obama had singled out India for what he sees as the country usurping American jobs and business.
  • In May 2009, he removed some tax incentives for US companies who allegedly preferred to outsource rather than create domestic jobs. “Buffalo before Bangalore” was his rallying call at the time.
  • In April 2011, he told a town hall gathering in Virginia that Americans shouldn’t have to go to India or Mexico for “cheap” health care. “I would like you to get it right here in the U.S.,” he said. 

Conclusion:

As we have noted above, due to global economic meltdown even many corporate business houses in the developed world are under a serious cost containment pressure, which includes the medical expenses for their employees. Such cost pressure prompts/ could prompt them to send their employees to low cost destinations for treatment, without compromising on the quality of their healthcare needs. This trend could offer an additional significant growth opportunity in the medical tourism sector in India.

India should keep in mind that other countries, in quite close proximity to ours, like, Thailand, Singapore and Malaysia will continue to offer quite tough competition in the medical tourism space of our country.

However, superior healthcare services with a significant cost advantage at world class and internationally accredited facilities, treated by foreign qualified doctors, supported by English speaking support staff and equipped with better healthcare related IT services will only accelerate this trend in favor of India.

Thus it is a time to say, ‘medical tourism in India – Ahoy!’

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

NRHM of India: Yet to ‘Tick all the Right Boxes’

‘National Rural Health Mission (NRHM)’, one of the largest and a very ambitious healthcare initiative for the rural population of India, was launched by the Government of India on April 12, 2005.

The primary purpose of NRHM, as announced by the Government, was to ensure universal access to affordable and quality healthcare for the rural poor of 18 states of India, namely, Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Bihar, Chhattisgarh, Himachal Pradesh, Jharkhand, Jammu and Kashmir, Manipur, Mizoram, Meghalaya, Madhya Pradesh, Nagaland, Orissa, Rajasthan, Sikkim, Tripura, Uttarakhand and Uttar Pradesh, to start with.
During the launch of NRHM, the then Health Minister of India announced that the nation would see the results of these efforts in three years’ time.

The key objectives of NRHM:

• Decrease the infant and maternal mortality rate • Provide access to public health services for every citizen • Prevent and control communicable and non-communicable diseases • Control population as well as ensure gender and demographic balance • Encourage a healthy lifestyle and alternative systems of medicine through AYUSH

As announced by the government NRHM envisages achieving its objective by strengthening “Panchayati Raj Institutions” and promoting access to improved healthcare through the “Accredited Social Health Activist” (ASHA). It also plans on strengthening existing Primary Health Centers, Community Health Centers and District Health Missions, in addition to making maximum use of Non-Governmental Organizations.

NRHM was to improve access to healthcare by 20 to 25% in 3 years’ time:
To many the National Rural Health Mission (NRHM) has made a significant difference to the rural health care system in India. It now appears that many more state governments are envisaging to come out with innovative ideas to attract and retain public healthcare professionals in rural areas.
On January 11, 2010, the Health Minister of India Mr. Ghulam Nabi Azad, while inaugurating the FDA headquarters of the Western Zone located in Mumbai, clearly articulated that the NRHM initiative will help improving access to affordable healthcare and modern medicines by around 20 to 25 percent during the next three years. This means that during this period access to modern medicines will increase from the current 35 percent to 60 percent of the population.
If this good intention of the minister ultimately gets translated into reality, India will make tremendous progress in the space of healthcare, confirming the remarks made by Professor Sir Andrew Haines, Director, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, as quoted above.

The Achievements:

More than five years are over now. Let us have a look at the key achievements of this ambitious health scheme as on January 2010, as available from the Ministry of Health:

  • 71.6% (10.86 million) institutional deliveries across India as compared to only 41%
  • 78.8% (19.82 million) children across the country fully immunized
  • A total of 23,458 primary health centers (PHC) have been set up against NRHM goals of 27,000 during the same period.
  • 5,907 community health centers were upgraded against 7,000 as was planned under the NRHM.
  • 462,000 Associated Social Health Activists were trained
  • 177,924 villages have sanitation committees functional
  • 323 district hospitals have been taken for up gradation

Free Care to Mothers and Children: A new initiative

In the recent publication of the Ministry of Health and Family Welfare (MoHFW) titled, ‘Two years (2009-2011): Achievements & New Initiatives’, the ministry has highlighted another commendable initiative to provide free care to the mothers and children, which includes as follows:

Provision of free drugs,

  • Free Consumables and Diagnostics,
  • Free Diet during stay and
  • Free transport to health facility and drop back home. 

Still to ‘Tick all the Right Boxes’:

Despite all these, a recent study done by ‘Chronic Care Foundation’ indicates that in India about 86% of highly populated rural districts still do not have provisions for basic diagnostic tests for chronic ailments.

The study also highlights that in rural areas, as a percentage of total healthcare expenses, out of pocket costs are more than the urban areas, with hospitalization expenses contributing the most to the total costs. In many rural areas the healthcare costs have been reported to be as high as around 80% of the total expenses. Such a high out of pocket expenses have mainly been attributed to the lack of facilities in these rural areas, requiring patients to travel to distant areas for medical treatment. It was also reported that even in rural areas due to inefficient and inadequate services at the Government healthcare units there has been a very high dependence on more expensive private healthcare facilities.

Obvious questions:

Thus even after over five years from the inception of NRHM, the current status of rural public healthcare system, poses the following obvious questions:
• How is the huge money allocated for NRHM being utilized? • Who all are accountable for the current state of affairs of this great scheme?
Even our Prime Minister Mr. Manmohan Singh has admitted recently that “the shortage of human resources was becoming an impediment in strengthening the public health delivery system through the National Rural Health Mission (NRHM)”.

Economic Survey 2010 did raise a flag:

The Economic Survey 2010 highlighted that ‘several glitches in the flagship NRHM needed to be ironed out to improve health infrastructure’, some of these are the following:

  • Shortage of over 6,800 more hospitals in rural areas to provide basic health facilities to people
  • Shortage of 4,477 primary healthcare centers and 2,337 community healthcare centers as per the 2001 population norms.
  • Almost 29% of the existing health infrastructure is in rented buildings.
  • Poor upkeep and maintenance, and high absenteeism of manpower in the rural areas are the main problems in the health delivery system.
  • Basic facilities are still absent in many Primary Health Centers (PHCs) and Community Health Centers (CHCs) to provide guaranteed services such as in-patient care, operation theatres, labor rooms, pathological tests, X-ray facilities and emergency care.

The Economic Survey further highlighted that “An assessment of the health related indicators would suggest that significant gains have been made over the years. However, India fares poorly in most of the indicators in comparison to the developing countries like China and Sri Lanka. The progress in health has been quite uneven, across regions, gender, as well as space.”

It now appears that this great initiative of the government of India called the NRHM, has made, if at all, only marginal impact on the healthcare needs and systems of the nation.

Leveraging capacity of the Private Healthcare sector is critical:

Though the private sector contributes over 70% in healthcare space, unfortunately NRHM has not yet been successful to leverage this key strength.  Participation of the private healthcare players through Public Private Partnership (PPP) initiatives could be one of the key determinants of success of NRHM of India. Electronic Media outreach program, though quite sporadic, has started creating some awareness about this project within the general population.

Role of the State Governments:

In the federal governance structure of India, health being a state subject, respective state governments should play more creative and proactive role with requisite allocation of fund, freedom of operation and accountability to make NRHM successful across the country.

Who will bell the cat?

To make NRHM deliver desired results the Government should at the very outset significantly increase in health expenditure to around 3% to 5% of GDP and simultaneously outline, decide and announce the key measurable success parameters for performance evaluation of the scheme. This is to be done by uploading for public scrutiny in the respective Health Ministry websites of both the Central and State Governments the names and designations of the responsible senior Government officials who will be held accountable for the success or failure to deliver the deliverables for NRHM. All these details should be updated at least half yearly.

With tax-payers money being utilized for this important and critical public health arena, no non-performance should escape attention and go unpunished.
Moreover, with the help of experts, the Government should decide which elements of each identified success parameters the Government will be able to deliver better with its own internal resources and what are those areas where the Government should outsource from the private players.
Such an approach when worked out in great details will be able to ensure whether through NHRM the country is making progress to improve access to affordable and quality healthcare for a vast majority of its rural population. Otherwise this scheme may well be treated just as one of those which failed to deliver and over a period of time vanished in the oblivion.

Conclusion:

Thus, in my view, despite publication of all the details done for NRHM by the MoHFW in its latest publication titled, ‘‘Two years (2009-2011): Achievements & New Initiatives’ and witnessing some sporadic flashes of brilliance here or there, I reckon, the overall implementation of this excellent healthcare project called NRHM has failed to tick many of the important boxes as was eagerly expected by the common man of India.

By: Tapan J Ray

Disclaimer:The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.

Tracking MDG 6 in India – not a mean achievement to combat the dreaded disease

At the turn of the new millennium, in 2000, 189 nations of the world under the banner of United Nations Development Program took a pledge to free people from extreme poverty and multiple deprivations.

This global pledge for humanity on eight key areas was termed as the ‘Millennium Development Goals (MDG)’, which the global community should achieve by 2015. Again in September 2010, the world reiterated its pledge to hasten progress towards achieving these goals within the same pre-scheduled time period.

Combating HIV/AIDS is the sixth of the eight MDGs that India, along with other 188 nations, is expected to achieve by 2015.

Looking Back:

Way back in late 1986, the first incidence HIV in India was diagnosed among the sex workers in Chennai. The origin of the infection was reported to be from the foreign visitors.

The National AIDS Control Organization (NACO) was constituted in the following year and by end 1987, around 135 persons were diagnosed as HIV positive and 14 were suffering from AIDS. Almost around the same time, a rapid spread of HIV was reported from within the ‘Injecting Drug Users (IDU)’ in Manipur, Mizoram and Nagaland. Incidentally, all these states have a common border with Myanmar.

According to the first joint survey conducted by UNAIDS and NACO in 2007, the number of people living with HIV in India was estimated between 2 million and 3.1 million. In 2009 this estimated number declined to 2.4 million.

As per the Government of India (March 1, 2011), there has been an overall reduction in adult HIV prevalence and HIV incidence (new infections) in the country. The estimated number of new annual HIV infections has declined by more than 50% over the last decade, from estimated 2.7 lakhs in 2000 to approximately 1.2 lakhs in 2009. Adult HIV prevalence at national level has declined from 0.41% in 2000 to 0.31% in 2009, although variations exist across the states.

Some actionable areas:

As reported by the National Aids Control Organization (NACO), ‘Injecting Drug Use (IDU)’ and sexual intercourse through homosexual route by some section of the male population have still remained the routes of transmission of HIV in different parts of India, which need to be addressed with a much greater detail.

In the North Eastern States, besides IDU, HIV prevalence among the Female Sex Workers (FSW) is increasing. This suggests a two-prong spread of the pandemic infection in the country.

Moreover, HIV prevalence within the women attending Ante Natal Clinics (ANCs) in North Indian states also needs to be addressed with utmost care.

HIV/AIDS and Drug Prices:

Pricing of HIV/AIDS drugs are globally a very sensitive issue. Currently, because of the availability of many generic drugs, intense competition between them and direct price negotiation for newer brands, there has been a declining price trend for many HIV/AIDS medicines in the developing countries, like India.

This situation has enabled about 5.25 million HIV positive persons from the developing countries to undergo treatment for the acquired infection.

In India, people living with HIV/AIDS have access to Anti-retroviral (ART) drugs, free of cost, through 292 ART Therapy centers and 550 Link ART Centers spread across the country.

As per the Ministry of Health (February 22, 2011), there is no gap between demand and supply of drugs for the HIV/AIDS patients in the country. About 3, 87,205 patients are on ART therapy through the above centers (2010).

Recently product patents for two key HIV/AIDS medicines namely, Lopinavir/Ritonavir and Atazanavir bisulphate were not granted by the Indian Patent Office giving reasons of ‘lacked inventive ingenuity’. Though, this is a patent law related legal issue, it has been hyped up as a ‘major victory for public health and access to affordable treatment’.

I hasten to add, despite this situation, all drugs used for the treatment of HIV/ AIDS are still not available at an affordable price to the poor, across the world.

Funding for HIV/AIDS treatment in India:

The Finance Minister of India in his Union Budget proposal for 2011-12 allocated a sum of Rs. 1700 Crore (around US$ 380 million ) as against an outlay of Rs.1435 Crore (around US$ 320 million) in 2010-11 for the treatment of HIV/AIDS.

Market Size of HIV/AIDS Drugs:

Current market size of HIV drugs is around Rs. 151 Crores  (around US$ 36 million) growing at 11% over the previous year. As per reported data, around 10 HIV drugs are now being marketed in India with 162 different brand names by over 30 companies including, Cipla, FDC, Torrent, Hetero, Sun Pharma, Lupin, Ranbaxy, Zydus Cadila, Natco, Alkem and GSK.

Globally Gilead, Abbott, Pfizer, GlaxoSmithKline, Merck and BMS are among the key manufacturers of HIV drugs.

The world market size for HIV Drugs is estimated to exceed US $15.5 billion by 2015. The key growth driver is still increasing disease prevalence in some countries of the world. Treatment of HIV/AIDS with cheaper Anti-retroviral (ART) drugs has transformed the treatment of this dreaded disease into a manageable proportion.

Unique initiative of UNITAIDS:

For diseases like HIV/AIDS, one school of thought leaders feel that the way forward to resolve such pricing issue is by putting in place an alternative system of ‘remuneration and reward’ to further R&D initiatives in the key areas of public health interest, globally.

Towards this direction, in 2009 UNITAID, an international institution against AIDS, TB and malaria, proposed the ‘Patent Pools’ concept. This system of ‘pool’ will hold licenses on various patented HIV/AIDS drugs, which the generic manufacturers will be allowed to produce at a much lesser price for the least developing countries of the world.

National Institute of Health (NIH) of USA has now become the first patent holder to license a HIV/AIDS drug Darunavir to the patent pool. It appears, the ‘Patent Pool’ initiative to be successful, voluntary participation of larger global pharmaceutical companies is absolutely critical, though many innovator companies may not find any significant commercial benefit within this system.

Will HIV Vaccine be the ultimate answer?

Still with so many newly infected people with HIV every day in various corners of the world, a suitable vaccine to prevent the infection would indeed be indispensable to effectively control this disease. An affordable HIV vaccine could thus be an appropriate answer to fight against HIV/AIDS across the world.

Early In March 2011, the International AIDS Vaccine Initiative (IAVI) and the Translational Health Sciences and Technology Institute (THSTI), of the Department of Biotechnology, Government of India announced together to fund an HIV vaccine design program in India. This HIV vaccine initiative is estimated to cost around Rs.50 Crore (around US$ 12 million) over a five year period.

Recent Developments:

Early this year, UNAIDS/WHO/UNDP launched a new policy brief urging countries to use IP flexibilities under the TRIPS Agreement.

The brief includes flexibilities like, compulsory licensing, parallel imports exemption of ‘Bolar Provision’ and highlights the success achieved in reducing prices in Brazil through the threat of compulsory licensing. The brief also highlights India’s 3(d) provision.

Conclusion:

In India, although the overall progress of MDG initiatives is not satisfactory just yet, ongoing intense efforts to control and treat HIV/AIDS seem to be paying good dividends.

It is interesting to note, UNAIDS ‘Outlook Report 2010’ highlights, “Up to 80% of the cost of treatment isn’t for the medication but for the systems to get it to a person and to keep him or her on it. Globally, only one third of people who need treatment are on it.” I reckon, the situation is no different in India.

By: Tapan J Ray

Disclaimer: The views/opinions expressed in this article are entirely my own, written in my individual and personal capacity. I do not represent any other person or organization for this opinion.